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Bundesliga

Referee: D Siebert

Dortmund

U S T U S

5–0

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 35%

46%

23%

Points per game

1,8

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

85%

62%

Both score Ø 66%

62%

69%

Average goals

3,6

3,1

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

73% Possession 27%

23 Shots 2

10 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 0

2 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dortmund 5. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	13	9	1	3	+13	28
2	RB Leipzig	13	8	3	2	+21	27
3	Schalke 04	13	7	4	2	+8	25
4	Bayern Munich	13	7	3	3	+16	24
5	Dortmund	13	6	5	2	+9	23
6	Freiburg	13	6	4	3	+6	22
7	Leverkusen	13	6	4	3	+3	22
8	Hoffenheim	13	6	3	4	-2	21
9	Wolfsburg	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	Ein Frankfurt	14	5	3	6	+2	18
11	Union Berlin	13	5	1	7	-3	16
12	Mainz	13	5	0	8	-13	15
13	Werder Bremen	13	3	5	5	-6	14
14	Augsburg	13	3	5	5	-7	14
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	3	3	7	-8	12
16	Hertha	14	3	3	8	-9	12
17	FC Koln	13	2	2	9	-16	8
18	Paderborn	13	1	2	10	-16	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	7	5	1	1	+9	16
2	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	3	1	+7	15
3	Dortmund	6	4	2	0	+12	14
4	Bayern Munich	7	4	1	2	+12	13
5	Schalke 04	7	3	3	1	+2	12
6	Union Berlin	7	4	0	3	+1	12
7	RB Leipzig	6	3	2	1	+10	11
8	Freiburg	6	3	2	1	+4	11
9	Leverkusen	7	2	4	1	+2	10
10	Hoffenheim	7	3	1	3	-4	10
11	Mainz	6	3	0	3	+0	9
12	Wolfsburg	7	2	3	2	-1	9
13	Augsburg	6	2	2	2	+1	8
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	2	1	3	-4	7
15	Hertha	6	2	0	4	-4	6
16	Werder Bremen	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	FC Koln	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Paderborn	7	1	0	6	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	7	5	1	1	+11	16
2	Schalke 04	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	M'gladbach	6	4	0	2	+4	12
4	Leverkusen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	Bayern Munich	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	Wolfsburg	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Freiburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Hoffenheim	6	3	2	1	+2	11
9	Werder Bremen	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Dortmund	7	2	3	2	-3	9
11	Hertha	8	1	3	4	-5	6
12	Augsburg	7	1	3	3	-8	6
13	Mainz	7	2	0	5	-13	6
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	1	2	4	-4	5
15	Union Berlin	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	FC Koln	7	1	1	5	-11	4
17	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	0	5	-5	3
18	Paderborn	6	0	2	4	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.