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Bundesliga

Referee: F Brych

Union Berlin

T S T S S

2–0

Full-time

M'gladbach

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin M'gladbach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,8

Scored

1,3

2,8

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,8

This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 55%

36%

73%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

55%

73%

Both score Ø 60%

55%

64%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

11 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Union Berlin 11. · M'gladbach 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	11	8	1	2	+13	25
2	RB Leipzig	11	6	3	2	+17	21
3	Bayern Munich	11	6	3	2	+13	21
4	Freiburg	11	6	3	2	+8	21
5	Dortmund	12	5	5	2	+8	20
6	Hoffenheim	11	6	2	3	+2	20
7	Schalke 04	11	5	4	2	+6	19
8	Leverkusen	11	5	3	3	+2	18
9	Ein Frankfurt	11	5	2	4	+5	17
10	Wolfsburg	11	4	5	2	+1	17
11	Union Berlin	11	4	1	6	-4	13
12	Hertha	11	3	2	6	-4	11
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	3	2	6	-4	11
14	Werder Bremen	11	2	5	4	-6	11
15	Augsburg	11	2	4	5	-11	10
16	Mainz	11	3	0	8	-18	9
17	FC Koln	11	2	1	8	-13	7
18	Paderborn	12	1	2	9	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	6	4	2	0	+12	14
2	Ein Frankfurt	6	4	2	0	+9	14
3	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+13	13
4	M'gladbach	6	4	1	1	+7	13
5	Freiburg	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	Leverkusen	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Schalke 04	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Hoffenheim	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Wolfsburg	6	2	3	1	+0	9
10	Union Berlin	6	3	0	3	-1	9
11	RB Leipzig	5	2	2	1	+7	8
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Mainz	5	2	0	3	-1	6
14	Hertha	5	2	0	3	-3	6
15	Augsburg	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Werder Bremen	5	1	2	2	-4	5
17	FC Koln	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Paderborn	6	1	0	5	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	6	4	1	1	+10	13
2	M'gladbach	5	4	0	1	+6	12
3	Hoffenheim	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Schalke 04	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Freiburg	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Leverkusen	5	3	0	2	+0	9
7	Wolfsburg	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Bayern Munich	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	Werder Bremen	6	1	3	2	-2	6
10	Dortmund	6	1	3	2	-4	6
11	Hertha	6	1	2	3	-1	5
12	Augsburg	6	1	2	3	-8	5
13	Union Berlin	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	1	1	4	-4	4
15	FC Koln	6	1	1	4	-8	4
16	Ein Frankfurt	5	1	0	4	-4	3
17	Mainz	6	1	0	5	-17	3
18	Paderborn	6	0	2	4	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.