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Super League

Referee: L Piccolo

Thun

T T T U T

0–2

Full-time

Luzern

T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thun Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,8

This season — Super League · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 17%

11%

22%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

44%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

18 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Thun 10. · Luzern 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	9	7	1	1	+16	22
2	Young Boys	9	5	4	0	+9	19
3	St. Gallen	9	5	1	3	+5	16
4	Sion	9	5	1	3	+2	16
5	Zurich	9	3	2	4	-10	11
6	Servette	9	2	4	3	+0	10
7	Luzern	9	2	3	4	-4	9
8	Xamax	9	1	4	4	-6	7
9	Lugano	9	1	3	5	-2	6
10	Thun	9	1	3	5	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	5	4	0	1	+9	12
2	Young Boys	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	St. Gallen	5	3	0	2	+4	9
4	Zurich	4	2	1	1	-1	7
5	Servette	5	1	3	1	+0	6
6	Sion	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Luzern	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Lugano	4	0	2	2	-2	2
9	Thun	5	0	2	3	-6	2
10	Xamax	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Sion	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Young Boys	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	St. Gallen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Xamax	5	1	3	1	+0	6
6	Servette	4	1	1	2	+0	4
7	Lugano	5	1	1	3	+0	4
8	Luzern	5	1	1	3	-3	4
9	Thun	4	1	1	2	-4	4
10	Zurich	5	1	1	3	-9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.