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La Liga
Referee: Jorge Figueroa
Valencia
U S T T T
2–2
Full-time
Getafe
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 40%
29%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
57%
33%
Both score Ø 36%
71%
0%
Average goals
2,9
1,5
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 3
6 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 25
8 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Valencia 16. · Getafe 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 8 5 2 1 +14 17
2 Real Madrid 7 5 1 1 +8 16
3 Ath Madrid 6 4 2 0 +11 14
4 Cadiz 8 4 2 2 +2 14
5 Granada 7 4 2 1 +0 14
6 Villarreal 7 3 3 1 +0 12
7 Betis 8 4 0 4 -2 12
8 Getafe 6 3 1 2 +1 10
9 Osasuna 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 Elche 6 3 1 2 -1 10
11 Ath Bilbao 7 3 0 4 -1 9
12 Barcelona 6 2 2 2 +4 8
13 Alaves 8 2 2 4 -3 8
14 Eibar 8 2 2 4 -3 8
15 Sevilla 6 2 1 3 +0 7
16 Valencia 7 2 1 4 -2 7
17 Celta 8 1 3 4 -9 6
18 Levante 7 1 2 4 -5 5
19 Huesca 8 0 5 3 -8 5
20 Valladolid 7 0 3 4 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Getafe
1–0 Y. Musah
Gabriel Paulista
22′
Hugo Guillamón 🟨
32′
Gabriel Paulista 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
Thierry Correia 🟨
48′
54′
🔁 Timor
↦ A. Nyom
54′
🔁 Ángel
↦ Nemanja Maksimović
Thierry Correia 🟨
56′
Thierry Correia 🟥
56′
U. Račić 🔁
↦ Lee Kang-In
59′
Maximiliano Gómez 🟨
61′
Yunus Musah 🟨
69′
72′
🟨 Mauro Arambarri
73′
🔁 Mata
↦ M. Olivera
73′
🔁 Portillo
↦ E. Ünal
73′
🔁 A. Diaby
↦ E. Cabaco
Denis Cheryshev 🟨
76′
Toni Lato 🔁
↦ D. Cheryshev
78′
Daniel Wass 🟨
82′
87′
J. Hernández 1–1
90′
🟨 Jaime Mata
90′
🟨 Damián Suárez
90′
🟨 Djené
90′
🟨 Damián Suárez
90′
🟥 Damián Suárez
Jason 🔁
↦ Y. Musah
92′
94′
Ángel 1–2
2–2 Carlos Soler
100′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Valencia

4-4-2
1 Jaume Doménech G
5 Gabriel Paulista D
14 Gayà D
2 Thierry Correia D
15 Hugo Guillamón D
18 D. Wass M
17 D. Cheryshev M
8 Carlos Soler M
30 Y. Musah M
20 Lee Kang-In F
22 M. Gómez F
Bench (12)
19 U. Račić
3 Toni Lato
23 Jason
37 Álex Blanco
7 Gonçalo Guedes
11 Sobrino
27 K. Koindredi
25 Cristian Rivero
21 Manu Vallejo
13 J. Cillessen
4 E. Mangala
9 K. Gameiro

Coach: Javi Gracia

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
12 A. Nyom M
22 D. Suárez D
2 D. Dakonam D
3 E. Cabaco D
15 Cucurella M
17 M. Olivera D
20 Nemanja Maksimović M
18 M. Arambarri M
10 E. Ünal F
23 J. Hernández F
Bench (10)
24 Timor
9 Ángel
7 Mata
8 Portillo
21 A. Diaby
14 A. Palaversa
1 Rubén Yáñez
4 Etxeita
26 Víctor Mollejo
6 Chema Rodríguez

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,26
U ✓
2,95
B
2,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,81
U2,5
1,43
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jorge Figueroa · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.