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Eredivisie

Referee: M van den Kerkhof

AZ Alkmaar

U U U U U

3–0

Full-time

Waalwijk

T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,7

2,5

Scored

2,7

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

80%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,8

2,5

Scored

2,4

0,8

Conceded

2,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

19 Shots 3

11 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

6 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 11. · Waalwijk 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+24	18
2	Vitesse	7	6	0	1	+10	18
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	+11	16
4	Heerenveen	7	5	1	1	+8	16
5	Twente	7	4	2	1	+10	14
6	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	+8	14
7	Groningen	7	4	1	2	+1	13
8	Utrecht	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Heracles	7	2	2	3	-3	8
10	Zwolle	7	1	3	3	-5	6
11	AZ Alkmaar	5	0	5	0	+0	5
12	Waalwijk	6	1	2	3	-5	5
13	Willem II	7	1	2	4	-6	5
14	VVV Venlo	7	1	2	4	-14	5
15	Den Haag	7	1	1	5	-10	4
16	FC Emmen	7	0	3	4	-8	3
17	Sparta Rotterdam	6	0	2	4	-10	2
18	For Sittard	7	0	2	5	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Twente	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Heerenveen	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Vitesse	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Heracles	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Utrecht	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Groningen	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Zwolle	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Willem II	4	1	0	3	-4	3
12	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Waalwijk	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	FC Emmen	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	Den Haag	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	VVV Venlo	3	0	1	2	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	PSV Eindhoven	4	2	1	1	+4	7
4	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+13	6
6	Groningen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Twente	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	VVV Venlo	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	AZ Alkmaar	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Waalwijk	3	1	0	2	-4	3
11	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-7	3
12	Willem II	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Utrecht	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Zwolle	3	0	2	1	-4	2
15	FC Emmen	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	For Sittard	4	0	1	3	-7	1
17	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.