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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kamphuis
PSV Eindhoven
S U S S T
4–0
Full-time
Den Haag
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

68% Possession 32%
22 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
7 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 6. · Den Haag 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 7 6 0 1 +24 18
2 Vitesse 7 6 0 1 +10 18
3 Heerenveen 7 5 1 1 +8 16
4 Twente 7 4 2 1 +10 14
5 Feyenoord 6 4 2 0 +8 14
6 PSV Eindhoven 6 4 1 1 +7 13
7 Groningen 7 4 1 2 +1 13
8 Utrecht 6 2 3 1 +0 9
9 Heracles 7 2 2 3 -3 8
10 Zwolle 7 1 3 3 -5 6
11 AZ Alkmaar 5 0 5 0 +0 5
12 Waalwijk 6 1 2 3 -5 5
13 Willem II 7 1 2 4 -6 5
14 VVV Venlo 7 1 2 4 -14 5
15 Den Haag 6 1 1 4 -6 4
16 FC Emmen 7 0 3 4 -8 3
17 Sparta Rotterdam 6 0 2 4 -10 2
18 For Sittard 7 0 2 5 -11 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Den Haag
Eran Zahavi ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
14′
1–0 E. Zahavi
16′
Jordan Teze 🟨
37′
45′
🔁 Pascu
↦ A. Rațiu
Half-time 1–0
P. Max 🔁
↦ M. Ihattaren
46′
N. Madueke 🔁
↦ D. Malen
46′
2–0 N. Madueke
E. Zahavi
51′
60′
🔁 J. Arweiler
↦ S. Bourard
60′
🔁 N. Karelis
↦ M. Kramer
R. Ledezma 🔁
↦ Mauro Júnior
74′
77′
🔁 B. Ould-Chikh
↦ L. Faye
77′
🔁 I. Elmkies
↦ J. Goossens
80′
🟨 Nikolaos Karelis
3–0 R. Thomas
R. Ledezma
84′
Luis Felipe 🔁
↦ R. Thomas
86′
Ismael Saibari 🔁
↦ M. Götze
88′
4–0 N. Madueke
P. Max
92′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-4-2
38 Y. Mvogo G
28 O. Boscagli D
33 J. Teze D
27 M. Götze M
30 R. Thomas D
17 Mauro Júnior D
6 I. Sangaré M
11 A. Fein M
10 M. Ihattaren M
7 E. Zahavi F
9 D. Malen F
Bench (7)
31 P. Max
23 N. Madueke
37 R. Ledezma
39 Luis Felipe
55 Ismael Saibari
13 L. Unnerstall
49 M. Kjølø

Coach: R. Schmidt

Den Haag

5-3-2
1 L. Koopmans G
15 D. Del Fabro D
43 L. Faye D
19 S. Pinas D
7 A. Rațiu D
2 M. van Ewijk D
8 J. Goossens M
11 S. Bourard M
6 D. Rigo M
18 D. Philipp F
29 M. Kramer F
Bench (11)
23 Pascu
9 J. Arweiler
17 N. Karelis
21 B. Ould-Chikh
10 I. Elmkies
34 A. Ćatić
4 B. Kemper
14 K. de Boer
25 J. Amofa
22 R. Zwinkels
35 Y. Schoonderwaldt

Coach: A. Ranković

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,17
U
7,40
B
15,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,38
U2,5
2,96
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.