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Super League
Referee: L Cibelli
Lugano
U U T S U
1–1
Full-time
Vaduz
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Vaduz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Super League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 22%
31%
13%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
31%
31%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
44%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

66% Possession 34%
11 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 4. · Vaduz 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 17 11 5 1 +16 38
2 Basel 17 8 3 6 +2 27
3 Zurich 18 7 4 7 +3 25
4 Lugano 16 5 9 2 +2 24
5 St. Gallen 16 6 5 5 +1 23
6 Lausanne 16 5 5 6 +0 20
7 Servette 15 5 5 5 -1 20
8 Sion 17 3 7 7 -7 16
9 Luzern 14 3 4 7 -3 13
10 Vaduz 16 2 5 9 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Oct -20 Vaduz – Lugano 1–1

Match report

Lugano Vaduz
2′
⚽ J. Schmied 0–1
Y. Schmid
1–1 A. Gerndt ⚽
C. Lungoyi
23′
Sandi Lovrić 🟨
34′
35′
🟨 Denis Simani
Jonathan Sabbatini 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
M. Bottani 🔁
↦ C. Lungoyi
46′
57′
🔁 T. Çiçek
↦ M. Di Giusto
57′
🔁 B. Prokopič
↦ G. Lüchinger
J. Ardaiz 🔁
↦ A. Gerndt
61′
69′
🔁 M. Coulibaly
↦ M. Sutter
Sandi Lovrić 🟨
80′
Sandi Lovrić 🟥
80′
O. Custodio 🔁
↦ J. Sabbatini
84′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lugano

4-3-3
46 N. Baumann G
30 F. Daprelà D
91 M. Facchinetti D
16 N. Lavanchy D
4 Á. Kecskés D
6 M. Čovilo M
14 J. Sabbatini M
24 S. Lovric M
19 A. Gerndt F
17 Asumah Abubakar F
8 C. Lungoyi F
Bench (7)
10 M. Bottani
23 J. Ardaiz
20 O. Custodio
3 Adrià Guerrero
25 M. Ošs
76 L. Soldini
77 R. Macek

Coach: M. Jacobacci

Vaduz

5-3-2
1 B. Büchel G
4 D. Simani D
21 P. Dorn D
15 Y. Schmid D
27 L. Obexer D
24 C. Gasser M
5 J. Schmied D
14 M. Gajić M
30 G. Lüchinger M
9 M. Sutter F
7 M. Di Giusto F
Bench (7)
11 T. Çiçek
28 B. Prokopič
10 M. Coulibaly
19 D. Đokić
18 J. Ospelt
35 Y. Gomes
22 N. Hug

Coach: M. Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Cibelli · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.