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Ligue 1
Referee: J Hamel
Dijon
U U U T T
0–1
Full-time
Lyon
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 34%
9%
59%
Points per game
0,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
32%
64%
Both score Ø 53%
41%
64%
Average goals
2,1
3,0
Scored
0,7
2,1
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%
14 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 19. · Lyon 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lille 23 15 6 2 +25 51
2 Lyon 22 13 7 2 +26 46
3 Paris SG 22 14 3 5 +36 45
4 Monaco 22 13 3 6 +13 42
5 Rennes 22 10 7 5 +7 37
6 Metz 23 9 8 6 +7 35
7 Lens 22 10 4 8 +1 34
8 Angers 23 10 4 9 -5 34
9 Marseille 20 9 5 6 +5 32
10 Bordeaux 23 9 5 9 -1 32
11 Montpellier 23 8 5 10 -7 29
12 Reims 23 7 7 9 -1 28
13 Brest 23 8 3 12 -8 27
14 Nice 21 7 5 9 -6 26
15 Strasbourg 23 7 4 12 -4 25
16 St Etienne 22 5 7 10 -14 22
17 Lorient 22 5 4 13 -16 19
18 Nantes 22 3 9 10 -15 18
19 Dijon 22 2 9 11 -16 15
20 Nimes 21 4 3 14 -27 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Lyon
22′
Lucas Paquetá 0–1
K. Toko Ekambi
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 M. De Sciglio
↦ M. Cornet
B. Celina 🔁
↦ P. Diop
59′
Mama Baldé 🔁
↦ M. Konaté
59′
M. Chouiar 🔁
↦ F. Sammaritano
59′
Mounir Chouiar 🟨
61′
63′
🔁 Thiago Mendes
↦ Bruno Guimarães
Senou Coulibaly 🟨
74′
75′
🔁 I. Slimani
↦ K. Toko Ekambi
76′
🔁 M. Caqueret
↦ H. Aouar
J. Marié 🔁
↦ W. Lautoa
80′
S. Boey 🔁
↦ E. Ebimbe
85′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Dijon

4-3-3
1 A. Racioppi G
25 B. Écuélé Manga D
24 W. Lautoa M
26 F. Chafik D
3 G. Ngonda D
5 S. Coulibaly D
7 F. Sammaritano F
22 D. Ndong M
6 P. Diop M
8 E. Ebimbe F
11 M. Konaté F
Bench (9)
9 B. Celina
17 Mama Baldé
21 M. Chouiar
14 J. Marié
2 S. Boey
16 S. Allagbé
13 A. Chalá
29 M. Dobre
4 J. Panzo

Coach: D. Linarès

Lyon

4-3-3
1 Anthony Lopes G
6 Marcelo D
14 L. Dubois D
2 S. Diomande D
39 Bruno Guimarães M
8 H. Aouar M
12 Lucas Paquetá M
10 M. Depay F
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
27 M. Cornet D
11 T. Kadewere F
Bench (9)
22 M. De Sciglio
23 Thiago Mendes
20 I. Slimani
25 M. Caqueret
29 Y. Soumaré
30 J. Pollersbeck
26 M. Bard
18 M. Cherki
3 D. Benlamri

Coach: R. Garcia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,62
U
5,08
B ✓
1,35
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.