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Premier League

Referee: K Friend

Liverpool

T U T S S

0–1

Full-time

Brighton

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Brighton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — Premier League · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 36%

52%

19%

Points per game

1,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

57%

48%

Both score Ø 60%

62%

57%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

11 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Liverpool 4. · Brighton 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	21	14	5	2	+26	47
2	Man United	22	13	5	4	+19	44
3	Leicester	22	13	3	6	+14	42
4	Liverpool	21	11	7	3	+19	40
5	Everton	20	11	3	6	+6	36
6	West Ham	21	10	5	6	+4	35
7	Tottenham	20	9	6	5	+13	33
8	Chelsea	21	9	6	6	+12	33
9	Aston Villa	19	10	2	7	+13	32
10	Arsenal	22	9	4	9	+5	31
11	Leeds	21	9	2	10	-2	29
12	Southampton	21	8	5	8	-7	29
13	Crystal Palace	22	8	5	9	-10	29
14	Wolves	22	7	5	10	-8	26
15	Newcastle	22	6	4	12	-14	22
16	Burnley	21	6	4	11	-15	22
17	Brighton	21	4	9	8	-6	21
18	Fulham	21	2	8	11	-14	14
19	West Brom	22	2	6	14	-34	12
20	Sheffield United	22	3	2	17	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	11	8	2	1	+15	26
2	Liverpool	10	7	2	1	+12	23
3	Chelsea	11	5	4	2	+10	19
4	West Ham	11	5	3	3	+2	18
5	Man United	11	5	2	4	+7	17
6	Southampton	11	5	1	5	+2	16
7	Leicester	11	5	1	5	+1	16
8	Tottenham	10	4	3	3	+3	15
9	Arsenal	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Wolves	11	4	3	4	+0	15
11	Crystal Palace	11	4	3	4	-4	15
12	Everton	10	4	2	4	+1	14
13	Aston Villa	8	4	1	3	+6	13
14	Burnley	10	4	1	5	-4	13
15	Leeds	10	3	2	5	-2	11
16	Newcastle	11	3	2	6	-7	11
17	Brighton	11	1	6	4	-4	9
18	Sheffield United	11	2	1	8	-8	7
19	Fulham	11	1	3	7	-10	6
20	West Brom	11	1	3	7	-24	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	11	8	3	0	+12	27
2	Leicester	11	8	2	1	+13	26
3	Everton	10	7	1	2	+5	22
4	Man City	10	6	3	1	+11	21
5	Aston Villa	11	6	1	4	+7	19
6	Tottenham	10	5	3	2	+10	18
7	Leeds	11	6	0	5	+0	18
8	Liverpool	11	4	5	2	+7	17
9	West Ham	10	5	2	3	+2	17
10	Arsenal	11	5	1	5	+4	16
11	Chelsea	10	4	2	4	+2	14
12	Crystal Palace	11	4	2	5	-6	14
13	Southampton	10	3	4	3	-9	13
14	Brighton	10	3	3	4	-2	12
15	Newcastle	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Wolves	11	3	2	6	-8	11
17	Burnley	11	2	3	6	-11	9
18	Fulham	10	1	5	4	-4	8
19	West Brom	11	1	3	7	-10	6
20	Sheffield United	11	1	1	9	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.