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Ligue 1

Referee: B Dechepy

Metz

U U S S S

1–1

Full-time

Montpellier

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,8

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,7

2,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 39%

41%

36%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

23%

68%

Both score Ø 57%

45%

68%

Average goals

2,1

3,4

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,9

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

17 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 10

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 15

6 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 6. · Montpellier 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	22	14	6	2	+22	48
2	Lyon	22	13	7	2	+26	46
3	Paris SG	22	14	3	5	+36	45
4	Monaco	22	13	3	6	+13	42
5	Rennes	21	10	6	5	+7	36
6	Metz	22	9	7	6	+7	34
7	Lens	22	10	4	8	+1	34
8	Angers	22	10	3	9	-5	33
9	Marseille	20	9	5	6	+5	32
10	Bordeaux	22	9	5	8	+2	32
11	Montpellier	22	8	4	10	-7	28
12	Reims	22	7	6	9	-1	27
13	Nice	21	7	5	9	-6	26
14	Brest	22	8	2	12	-8	26
15	Strasbourg	22	7	3	12	-4	24
16	St Etienne	22	5	7	10	-14	22
17	Nantes	22	3	9	10	-15	18
18	Lorient	21	5	3	13	-16	18
19	Dijon	22	2	9	11	-16	15
20	Nimes	21	4	3	14	-27	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	12	8	3	1	+14	27
2	Paris SG	11	8	1	2	+24	25
3	Lyon	11	7	3	1	+14	24
4	Monaco	11	7	3	1	+12	24
5	Brest	11	6	1	4	+2	19
6	Metz	11	5	3	3	+4	18
7	Bordeaux	11	5	3	3	+3	18
8	Rennes	11	5	2	4	+0	17
9	Angers	11	5	1	5	-2	16
10	Marseille	10	4	3	3	+3	15
11	Lens	10	4	2	4	+0	14
12	Reims	10	4	2	4	-1	14
13	Lorient	11	4	1	6	-4	13
14	Montpellier	12	4	1	7	-5	13
15	Nantes	11	2	6	3	-5	12
16	Strasbourg	11	3	2	6	-3	11
17	St Etienne	10	2	4	4	-7	10
18	Nice	11	2	2	7	-12	8
19	Dijon	11	0	6	5	-7	6
20	Nimes	10	1	1	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	11	6	4	1	+12	22
2	Lille	10	6	3	1	+8	21
3	Paris SG	11	6	2	3	+12	20
4	Lens	12	6	2	4	+1	20
5	Rennes	10	5	4	1	+7	19
6	Nice	10	5	3	2	+6	18
7	Monaco	11	6	0	5	+1	18
8	Marseille	10	5	2	3	+2	17
9	Angers	11	5	2	4	-3	17
10	Metz	11	4	4	3	+3	16
11	Montpellier	10	4	3	3	-2	15
12	Bordeaux	11	4	2	5	-1	14
13	Reims	12	3	4	5	+0	13
14	Strasbourg	11	4	1	6	-1	13
15	St Etienne	12	3	3	6	-7	12
16	Nimes	11	3	2	6	-13	11
17	Dijon	11	2	3	6	-9	9
18	Brest	11	2	1	8	-10	7
19	Nantes	11	1	3	7	-10	6
20	Lorient	10	1	2	7	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.