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Super League

Referee: L Tschudi

Basel

T U S T S

2–2

Full-time

Lugano

U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,5

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Super League · 16/15 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

56%

27%

Both score Ø 52%

56%

47%

Average goals

2,9

1,9

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

13 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 2. · Lugano 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	15	9	5	1	+12	32
2	Basel	16	8	2	6	+2	26
3	Zurich	17	7	4	6	+6	25
4	Lugano	15	5	8	2	+2	23
5	St. Gallen	16	6	5	5	+1	23
6	Lausanne	15	5	4	6	+0	19
7	Servette	14	5	4	5	-1	19
8	Sion	16	3	7	6	-6	16
9	Luzern	14	3	4	7	-3	13
10	Vaduz	16	2	5	9	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	7	4	2	1	+3	14
2	Basel	8	4	2	2	+0	14
3	Lausanne	8	4	0	4	+3	12
4	Zurich	8	3	2	3	+4	11
5	Lugano	7	3	2	2	+0	11
6	St. Gallen	9	3	2	4	-1	11
7	Sion	8	2	4	2	+1	10
8	Servette	7	2	4	1	+0	10
9	Luzern	7	1	4	2	+0	7
10	Vaduz	8	1	2	5	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	8	5	3	0	+9	18
2	Zurich	9	4	2	3	+2	14
3	Basel	8	4	0	4	+2	12
4	Lugano	8	2	6	0	+2	12
5	St. Gallen	7	3	3	1	+2	12
6	Servette	7	3	0	4	-1	9
7	Lausanne	7	1	4	2	-3	7
8	Luzern	7	2	0	5	-3	6
9	Vaduz	8	1	3	4	-6	6
10	Sion	8	1	3	4	-7	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.