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Ligue 1
Referee: H Ben El Hadj
Rennes
S U U S T
1–1
Full-time
Lorient
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Lorient
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,0
4,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 36%
48%
24%
Points per game
1,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
57%
62%
Both score Ø 55%
57%
52%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,1
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
10 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 5. · Lorient 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lille 22 14 6 2 +22 48
2 Lyon 22 13 7 2 +26 46
3 Paris SG 22 14 3 5 +36 45
4 Monaco 22 13 3 6 +13 42
5 Rennes 21 10 6 5 +7 36
6 Metz 22 9 7 6 +7 34
7 Lens 22 10 4 8 +1 34
8 Angers 22 10 3 9 -5 33
9 Marseille 20 9 5 6 +5 32
10 Bordeaux 22 9 5 8 +2 32
11 Montpellier 22 8 4 10 -7 28
12 Reims 22 7 6 9 -1 27
13 Nice 21 7 5 9 -6 26
14 Brest 22 8 2 12 -8 26
15 Strasbourg 22 7 3 12 -4 24
16 St Etienne 22 5 7 10 -14 22
17 Nantes 22 3 9 10 -15 18
18 Lorient 21 5 3 13 -16 18
19 Dijon 22 2 9 11 -16 15
20 Nimes 21 4 3 14 -27 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Lorient
1–0 M. Terrier
14′
B. Soppy 🔁
↦ H. Traoré
24′
Half-time 1–0
55′
🔁 L. Abergel
↦ F. Lemoine
65′
🔁 A. Grbić
↦ T. Moffi
65′
🔁 Q. Boisgard
↦ E. Le Fée
65′
🔁 A. Laurienté
↦ Y. Wissa
A. Truffert 🔁
↦ F. Maouassa
69′
Brandon Soppy 🟨
79′
J. Martin 🔁
↦ C. Grenier
81′
S. Guirassy 🔁
↦ M. Terrier
82′
83′
Q. Boisgard 1–1
A. Gravillon
85′
🔁 H. Mendes
↦ J. Delaplace
87′
🟨 Trevoh Chalobah
Jonas Martin 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-1-1
16 A. Gomis G
3 D. Da Silva D
27 H. Traoré D
17 F. Maouassa D
6 N. Aguerd D
8 C. Grenier F
15 S. Nzonzi M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
10 E. Camavinga M
7 M. Terrier F
18 J. Doku M
Bench (9)
34 B. Soppy
31 A. Truffert
28 J. Martin
9 S. Guirassy
5 Dalbert Henrique
1 R. Salin
4 G. Nyamsi
22 R. Del Castillo
23 A. Hunou

Coach: J. Stéphan

Lorient

5-4-1
1 M. Dreyer G
21 J. Morel D
14 J. Hergault D
15 J. Laporte D
2 A. Gravillon D
18 F. Lemoine M
22 J. Delaplace D
8 T. Chalobah M
10 E. Le Fée M
19 Y. Wissa M
13 T. Moffi F
Bench (9)
6 L. Abergel
27 A. Grbić
11 Q. Boisgard
28 A. Laurienté
17 H. Mendes
29 P. Hamel
4 Tiago Ilori
31 Y. Etienne
16 T. Bartouche

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,61
U ✓
4,03
B
5,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,94
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Ben El Hadj · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.