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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
Lugano
U S U S S
2–1
Full-time
Luzern
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

30% Possession 70%
8 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Jul -20 Luzern – Lugano 3–3 24. Jun -20 Lugano – Luzern 2–0 3. Nov -19 Luzern – Lugano 1–2 22. Sep -19 Lugano – Luzern 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.