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Super League
Referee: S Horisberger
Luzern
T S U U S
4–2
Full-time
St. Gallen
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern St. Gallen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — Super League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 33%
30%
35%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
74%
48%
Both score Ø 65%
78%
52%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

50% Possession 50%
19 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 8. · St. Gallen 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 23 14 8 1 +21 50
2 Servette 24 9 7 8 -2 34
3 Basel 24 9 6 9 -1 33
4 St. Gallen 23 8 7 8 +1 31
5 Lausanne 22 8 6 8 +4 30
6 Lugano 23 6 12 5 +0 30
7 Zurich 23 8 5 10 +1 29
8 Luzern 23 7 7 9 +3 28
9 Vaduz 24 5 8 11 -16 23
10 Sion 23 4 10 9 -11 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Feb -21 St. Gallen – Luzern 2–1 18. Oct -20 Luzern – St. Gallen 2–2 16. Jul -20 St. Gallen – Luzern 4–1 16. Feb -20 Luzern – St. Gallen 1–0 1. Dec -19 Luzern – St. Gallen 1–4

Match report

Luzern St. Gallen
4′
⚽ K. Duah 0–1
Víctor Ruiz
10′
⚽ C. Adamu 0–2
Víctor Ruiz
0–3 M. Muheim ⚽
own goal
40′
Jordy Wehrmann 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–3
L. Emini 🔁
↦ J. Wehrmann
46′
Y. Alounga 🔁
↦ D. Sorgić
61′
P. Schürpf 🔁
↦ L. Schaub
61′
62′
🔁 B. Traorè
↦ E. Youan
62′
🔁 B. Stillhart
↦ Víctor Ruiz
62′
🔁 J. Guillemenot
↦ C. Adamu
1–3 P. Schürpf ⚽
I. Ndiaye
65′
2–3 S. Sidler ⚽
70′
72′
🔁 T. Staubli
↦ L. Görtler
79′
🟨 Miro Muheim
80′
🟨 Yannis Letard
3–3 V. Tasar ⚽
81′
82′
🔁 B. Babic
↦ M. Muheim
A. Balaruban 🔁
↦ V. Tasar
88′
Lorik Emini 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Basil Stillhart
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Luzern

4-4-2
32 M. Müller G
5 Lucas D
4 S. Knežević D
34 S. Sidler D
10 L. Schaub F
13 M. Frýdek D
16 V. Tasar M
3 J. Wehrmann M
19 F. Ugrinic M
7 I. Ndiaye M
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (7)
31 L. Emini
22 Y. Alounga
11 P. Schürpf
21 A. Balaruban
1 D. Zibung
14 Álex Carbonell
46 M. Burch

Coach: F. Celestini

St. Gallen

4-3-1-2
1 L. Ati-Zigi G
21 M. Muheim D
3 M. Nuhu D
98 Y. Letard D
4 L. Stergiou D
8 Jordi Quintillà M
16 L. Görtler M
24 K. Duah F
10 Víctor Ruiz M
20 E. Youan M
7 C. Adamu F
Bench (7)
25 B. Traorè
6 B. Stillhart
9 J. Guillemenot
26 T. Staubli
34 B. Babic
15 Euclides Cabral
18 L. Watkowiak

Coach: P. Zeidler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Horisberger · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.