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Super League
Referee: A Jaccottet
Luzern
U S T S U
2–2
Full-time
Young Boys
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Young Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
This season — Super League · 21/20 matches
Win Ø 50%
29%
70%
Points per game
1,1
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
71%
55%
Both score Ø 63%
76%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,4
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
8 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 5
5 Offside 5
17 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 7. · Young Boys 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 20 14 5 1 +21 47
2 Basel 22 9 5 8 +0 32
3 St. Gallen 22 8 7 7 +2 31
4 Zurich 22 8 5 9 +2 29
5 Servette 22 7 7 8 -4 28
6 Lugano 21 5 12 4 -1 27
7 Luzern 21 6 6 9 +2 24
8 Lausanne 20 6 6 8 -1 24
9 Sion 21 4 10 7 -6 22
10 Vaduz 21 4 7 10 -15 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luzern Young Boys
Marco Burch 🟨
10′
1–0 F. Ugrinic
23′
Lucas 🔁
↦ C. Schwegler
44′
Half-time 1–0
52′
🟨 Cedric Zesiger
63′
🔁 C. Fassnacht
↦ G. Gaudino
64′
🔁 T. Siebatcheu
↦ F. Mambimbi
64′
🔁 M. Spielmann
↦ M. Sulejmani
70′
🔁 M. Aebischer
↦ S. Lauper
71′
C. Fassnacht 1–1
J. Nsame
I. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ L. Schaub
75′
L. Emini 🔁
↦ J. Wehrmann
75′
79′
🟨 Michel Aebischer
Y. Alounga 🔁
↦ D. Sorgić
81′
81′
🔁 J. Lefort
↦ U. Garcia
87′
S. Knežević 2–1
own goal
Stefan Knežević 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Jean-Pierre Nsame
Filip Ugrinic 🟨
90′
3–1 M. Schulz
96′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Luzern

4-2-3-1
32 M. Müller G
27 C. Schwegler D
15 M. Schulz M
4 S. Knežević D
46 M. Burch D
11 P. Schürpf M
10 L. Schaub M
13 M. Frýdek D
3 J. Wehrmann M
19 F. Ugrinic M
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (7)
5 Lucas
7 I. Ndiaye
31 L. Emini
22 Y. Alounga
1 D. Zibung
16 V. Tasar
34 S. Sidler

Coach: F. Celestini

Young Boys

4-4-2
26 D. von Ballmoos G
28 F. Lustenberger D
21 U. Garcia D
5 C. Zesiger D
24 Q. Maceiras D
10 M. Sulejmani M
11 G. Gaudino M
30 S. Lauper M
60 F. Rieder M
18 J. Nsame F
19 F. Mambimbi F
Bench (7)
16 C. Fassnacht
17 T. Siebatcheu
7 M. Spielmann
20 M. Aebischer
25 J. Lefort
91 G. Faivre
36 S. Hefti

Coach: G. Seoane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Jaccottet · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.