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Super League
Referee: A Bieri
Basel
U U S T S
4–0
Full-time
Zurich
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Zurich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — Super League · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 35%
41%
29%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
59%
65%
Both score Ø 62%
62%
62%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

76% Possession 24%
29 Shots 4
11 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 4
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Basel 2. · Zurich 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 33 22 9 2 +38 75
2 Basel 34 14 8 12 +7 50
3 Servette 34 13 8 13 -12 47
4 Luzern 34 12 10 12 +7 46
5 Lausanne 33 12 10 11 +6 46
6 Lugano 34 10 13 11 -5 43
7 Zurich 34 10 10 14 -3 40
8 St. Gallen 34 9 11 14 -9 38
9 Vaduz 34 9 9 16 -17 36
10 Sion 34 7 14 13 -12 35

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.