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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Young Boys
S S T S S
5–2
Full-time
Luzern
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,2
This season — Super League · 33/34 matches
Win Ø 51%
67%
35%
Points per game
2,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
58%
71%
Both score Ø 64%
52%
76%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

67% Possession 33%
19 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Young Boys 1. · Luzern 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 33 22 9 2 +38 75
2 Basel 34 14 8 12 +7 50
3 Servette 34 13 8 13 -12 47
4 Luzern 34 12 10 12 +7 46
5 Lausanne 33 12 10 11 +6 46
6 Lugano 34 10 13 11 -5 43
7 Zurich 34 10 10 14 -3 40
8 St. Gallen 34 9 11 14 -9 38
9 Vaduz 34 9 9 16 -17 36
10 Sion 34 7 14 13 -12 35

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Feb -21 Luzern – Young Boys 2–2 6. Dec -20 Luzern – Young Boys 2–3 25. Oct -20 Young Boys – Luzern 2–1 26. Jul -20 Young Boys – Luzern 1–0 1. Feb -20 Luzern – Young Boys 2–0

Match report

Young Boys Luzern
5′
🟨 Pascal Schürpf
9′
⚽ S. Grether 0–1
V. Tasar
Jordan Lefort 🟨
12′
1–1 M. Aebischer ⚽
J. Lefort
35′
Cedric Zesiger 🟨
38′
38′
🟨 Varol Tasar
40′
⚽ V. Tasar 1–2
Álex Carbonell
Half-time 2–2
2–2 C. Fassnacht ⚽
Mohamed Ali Camara
47′
3–2 C. Fassnacht ⚽
M. Sulejmani
60′
G. Gaudino 🔁
↦ F. Mambimbi
62′
U. Garcia 🔁
↦ C. Zesiger
62′
M. Spielmann 🔁
↦ M. Sulejmani
62′
66′
🔁 F. Ugrinic
↦ P. Schürpf
66′
🔁 J. Wehrmann
↦ L. Emini
66′
🔁 I. Ndiaye
↦ Álex Carbonell
4–2 J. Nsame ⚽
C. Fassnacht
74′
5–2 M. Spielmann ⚽
C. Fassnacht
77′
S. Lauper 🔁
↦ J. Nsame
78′
V. Sierro 🔁
↦ M. Aebischer
78′
81′
🔁 Y. Alounga
↦ D. Sorgić
81′
🔁 A. Balaruban
↦ S. Grether
David von Ballmoos 🟨
83′
83′
ℹ️ Lucas Alves
VAR: Goal cancelled
87′
🟨 Silvan Sidler
90′
🟨 Filip Ugrinic
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-4-2
26 D. von Ballmoos G
25 J. Lefort D
5 C. Zesiger D
36 S. Hefti D
4 Mohamed Ali Camara D
10 M. Sulejmani M
35 C. Martins M
16 C. Fassnacht M
20 M. Aebischer M
18 J. Nsame F
19 F. Mambimbi F
Bench (7)
11 G. Gaudino
21 U. Garcia
7 M. Spielmann
30 S. Lauper
8 V. Sierro
91 G. Faivre
24 Q. Maceiras

Coach: G. Seoane

Luzern

4-2-3-1
32 M. Müller G
17 S. Grether M
5 Lucas D
13 M. Frýdek D
4 S. Knežević D
34 S. Sidler D
11 P. Schürpf M
14 Álex Carbonell M
16 V. Tasar M
31 L. Emini M
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (7)
19 F. Ugrinic
3 J. Wehrmann
7 I. Ndiaye
22 Y. Alounga
21 A. Balaruban
6 M. Bürki
1 D. Zibung

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.