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Bundesliga
Referee: P Ittrich
Bayern Munich
S U S S U
4–0
Full-time
FC Koln
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,8
1,0
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
24 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
12 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 20
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Bayern Munich 5. · FC Koln 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 4 3 1 0 +7 10
2 Schalke 04 5 3 1 1 +5 10
3 Dortmund 4 3 0 1 +8 9
4 Freiburg 4 3 0 1 +7 9
5 Bayern Munich 4 2 2 0 +8 8
6 Wolfsburg 4 2 2 0 +4 8
7 M'gladbach 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Leverkusen 4 2 1 1 -1 7
9 Ein Frankfurt 4 2 0 2 +0 6
10 Werder Bremen 4 2 0 2 -1 6
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Union Berlin 4 1 1 2 -3 4
13 Hoffenheim 4 1 1 2 -3 4
14 Augsburg 4 1 1 2 -4 4
15 FC Koln 4 1 0 3 -3 3
16 Mainz 5 1 0 4 -10 3
17 Paderborn 4 0 1 3 -7 1
18 Hertha 4 0 1 3 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bayern Munich FC Koln
1–0 R. Lewandowski
J. Kimmich
3′
Jérôme Boateng 🟨
31′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 R. Lewandowski
J. Kimmich
48′
59′
🟥 Kingsley Ehizibue
Javi Martínez 🔁
↦ J. Boateng
59′
3–0 Philippe Coutinho
62′
65′
🔁 Jorge Meré
↦ F. Kainz
Lucas Hernández 🟨
67′
71′
🔁 S. Terodde
↦ J. Córdoba
T. Müller 🔁
↦ R. Lewandowski
72′
M. Cuisance 🔁
↦ J. Kimmich
72′
4–0 I. Perišić
Philippe Coutinho
73′
Javi Martínez 🟨
74′
79′
🔁 M. Bader
↦ M. Höger
Michaël Cuisance 🟨
83′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
17 J. Boateng D
4 N. Süle D
32 J. Kimmich M
21 L. Hernández D
5 B. Pavard D
14 I. Perišić M
10 Philippe Coutinho M
22 S. Gnabry M
24 C. Tolisso M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (9)
8 Javi Martínez
25 T. Müller
11 M. Cuisance
6 Thiago Alcântara
35 J. Zirkzee
29 K. Coman
26 S. Ulreich
19 A. Davies
33 L. Mai

Coach: N. Kovač

FC Koln

4-2-3-1
1 T. Horn G
5 R. Czichos D
19 K. Ehizibue D
33 S. Bornauw D
24 D. Drexler M
6 M. Höger M
30 F. Kainz M
14 J. Hector D
11 K. Schindler M
28 E. Skhiri M
15 J. Córdoba F
Bench (9)
22 Jorge Meré
9 S. Terodde
35 M. Bader
27 A. Modeste
18 T. Kessler
3 L. Sobiech
7 M. Risse
13 L. Schaub
36 N. Hauptmann

Coach: A. Beierlorzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,12
U
9,25
B
21,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,25
U2,5
3,83
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Ittrich · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.