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Super League

Referee: N Gianforte

Winterthur

T S U T T

1–0

Full-time

Lugano

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

This season — Super League · 17/18 matches

Win Ø 34%

24%

44%

Points per game

0,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

47%

67%

Both score Ø 63%

53%

72%

Average goals

2,9

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

2,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

11 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 9

1 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Winterthur 10. · Lugano 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	18	12	5	1	+31	41
2	St. Gallen	19	8	4	7	+11	28
3	Lugano	18	8	3	7	+1	27
4	Servette	18	6	8	4	-2	26
5	Luzern	18	6	6	6	+1	24
6	Grasshoppers	19	6	6	7	-2	24
7	Basel	19	5	7	7	+2	22
8	Sion	19	5	6	8	-8	21
9	Zurich	19	4	7	8	-12	19
10	Winterthur	17	4	4	9	-22	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	9	7	2	0	+20	23
2	St. Gallen	10	6	3	1	+11	21
3	Servette	9	4	5	0	+5	17
4	Grasshoppers	10	5	2	3	+3	17
5	Basel	9	3	4	2	+4	13
6	Lugano	9	4	1	4	+0	13
7	Winterthur	8	3	2	3	-10	11
8	Luzern	9	2	4	3	-1	10
9	Zurich	9	2	3	4	-5	9
10	Sion	10	2	2	6	-10	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	9	5	3	1	+11	18
2	Luzern	9	4	2	3	+2	14
3	Lugano	9	4	2	3	+1	14
4	Sion	9	3	4	2	+2	13
5	Zurich	10	2	4	4	-7	10
6	Basel	10	2	3	5	-2	9
7	Servette	9	2	3	4	-7	9
8	St. Gallen	9	2	1	6	+0	7
9	Grasshoppers	9	1	4	4	-5	7
10	Winterthur	9	1	2	6	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.