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Pro League
Referee: W Smet
St. Gilloise
S U S S S
4–0
Full-time
Waregem
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 20/24 matches
Win Ø 53%
80%
25%
Points per game
2,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
65%
54%
Both score Ø 62%
65%
58%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
2,1
1,3
Conceded
0,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 6
8 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gilloise 2. · Waregem 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 22 19 2 1 +42 59
2 St. Gilloise 20 16 3 1 +24 51
3 Antwerp 20 14 3 3 +22 45
4 Club Brugge 20 11 5 4 +16 38
5 St Truiden 25 10 8 7 +1 38
6 Anderlecht 25 11 4 10 +9 37
7 Gent 20 11 3 6 +16 36
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 26 9 7 10 +6 34
9 Charleroi 24 9 4 11 -6 31
10 Cercle Brugge 19 8 6 5 +4 30
11 Standard 20 9 3 8 +1 30
12 Kortrijk 26 8 4 14 -17 28
13 Westerlo 21 7 6 8 +1 27
14 Mechelen 24 7 5 12 -11 26
15 Eupen 26 7 4 15 -19 25
16 Waregem 24 6 5 13 -16 23
17 Oostende 26 5 4 17 -29 19
18 Seraing 24 5 3 16 -22 18
19 Seraing United 24 5 3 16 -22 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gilloise Waregem
1–0 Cameron Puertas
Y. Vertessen
9′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Karol Fila
2–0 V. Boniface
Y. Vertessen
55′
59′
🔁 J. Vossen
↦ Borja López
60′
🔁 R. Vormer
↦ N. Rommens
G. Nilsson 🔁
↦ Y. Vertessen
65′
67′
🔁 S. Braem
↦ Dani Ramírez
71′
🔁 C. Thiam
↦ K. Fila
O. El Azzouzi 🔁
↦ S. Lynen
73′
L. Lapoussin 🔁
↦ S. Adingra
73′
3–0 G. Nilsson
B. Nieuwkoop
79′
A. Dony 🔁
↦ V. Boniface
83′
4–0 T. Teuma
89′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
26 R. Sykes D
16 C. Burgess D
28 K. Machida D
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
23 Cameron Puertas M
20 S. Lynen M
10 T. Teuma M
11 S. Adingra M
7 V. Boniface F
18 Y. Vertessen F
Bench (7)
29 G. Nilsson
6 O. El Azzouzi
94 L. Lapoussin
85 A. Dony
44 S. Van der Heyden
8 L. Amani
21 L. Pirard

Coach: K. Geraerts

Waregem

3-5-2
1 S. Bossut G
19 K. Fila D
3 Borja López D
26 N. Dismas D
14 A. Ciranni M
20 N. Rommens M
6 A. Sissako M
12 C. Brüls M
5 O. Drambaev M
35 L. Hallaert F
23 Dani Ramírez F
Bench (7)
9 J. Vossen
25 R. Vormer
34 S. Braem
46 C. Thiam
38 L. Bostyn
22 B. Sørmo
16 K. Palumets

Coach: M. Leye

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,36
U
5,03
B
7,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,32
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Smet · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.