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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Gerach

St Pauli

U T U U S

2–0

Full-time

Hannover

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Hannover

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 33%

22%

44%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 53%

50%

56%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%

17 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 1

11 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St Pauli 12. · Hannover 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	19	12	6	1	+18	42
2	Hamburg	18	12	1	5	+12	37
3	Heidenheim	19	10	6	3	+13	36
4	Kaiserslautern	19	9	8	2	+9	35
5	Paderborn	19	10	2	7	+17	32
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	19	9	2	8	+4	29
7	Hannover	18	8	4	6	+5	28
8	Holstein Kiel	19	7	7	5	+2	28
9	Greuther Furth	19	5	8	6	-4	23
10	Braunschweig	19	5	6	8	-8	21
11	Hansa Rostock	18	6	3	9	-8	21
12	St Pauli	18	4	8	6	-1	20
13	Bielefeld	19	6	2	11	-4	20
14	Sandhausen	19	5	4	10	-11	19
15	Nurnberg	19	5	4	10	-11	19
16	Regensburg	19	5	4	10	-14	19
17	Karlsruhe	18	5	3	10	-5	18
18	Magdeburg	18	5	2	11	-14	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	9	7	2	0	+13	23
2	Darmstadt	10	6	4	0	+11	22
3	Paderborn	10	7	0	3	+18	21
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	6	1	2	+10	19
5	Hamburg	10	6	1	3	+7	19
6	Hannover	9	5	2	2	+4	17
7	Greuther Furth	10	4	5	1	+2	17
8	Kaiserslautern	10	4	4	2	+1	16
9	Holstein Kiel	9	4	3	2	+5	15
10	St Pauli	8	3	5	0	+7	14
11	Braunschweig	10	4	2	4	+1	14
12	Regensburg	10	3	4	3	-6	13
13	Bielefeld	9	4	0	5	+1	12
14	Karlsruhe	10	3	2	5	-2	11
15	Sandhausen	9	3	2	4	-4	11
16	Hansa Rostock	9	3	1	5	-3	10
17	Nurnberg	9	3	1	5	-4	10
18	Magdeburg	8	2	1	5	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	9	6	2	1	+7	20
2	Kaiserslautern	9	5	4	0	+8	19
3	Hamburg	8	6	0	2	+5	18
4	Heidenheim	10	3	4	3	+0	13
5	Holstein Kiel	10	3	4	3	-3	13
6	Hannover	9	3	2	4	+1	11
7	Paderborn	9	3	2	4	-1	11
8	Hansa Rostock	9	3	2	4	-5	11
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	3	1	6	-6	10
10	Magdeburg	10	3	1	6	-7	10
11	Nurnberg	10	2	3	5	-7	9
12	Bielefeld	10	2	2	6	-5	8
13	Sandhausen	10	2	2	6	-7	8
14	Karlsruhe	8	2	1	5	-3	7
15	Braunschweig	9	1	4	4	-9	7
16	Greuther Furth	9	1	3	5	-6	6
17	Regensburg	9	2	0	7	-8	6
18	St Pauli	10	1	3	6	-8	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.