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LaLiga2
Referee: Aitor Gorostegui
Lugo
S T T T T
0–0
Full-time
Ibiza
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Ibiza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,2
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 18%
20%
16%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
32%
40%
Both score Ø 44%
44%
44%
Average goals
2,1
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
16 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
5 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 21. · Ibiza 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 25 13 9 3 +15 48
2 Levante 26 12 11 3 +13 47
3 Eibar 26 13 8 5 +8 47
4 Alaves 26 13 7 6 +9 46
5 Granada 26 13 5 8 +14 44
6 Albacete 26 11 9 6 +5 42
7 Burgos 25 10 9 6 +7 39
8 Leganes 26 10 8 8 +3 38
9 Tenerife 26 8 10 8 +0 34
10 Cartagena 26 9 7 10 -1 34
11 Huesca 26 8 10 8 -1 34
12 Oviedo 26 9 7 10 -3 34
13 Villarreal B 26 9 7 10 -4 34
14 Zaragoza 26 8 9 9 +0 33
15 Andorra 26 9 5 12 +2 32
16 Sp Gijon 26 7 11 8 -2 32
17 Mirandes 26 7 9 10 -4 30
18 Santander 26 6 9 11 -5 27
19 Ponferradina 26 6 9 11 -9 27
20 Malaga 26 4 10 12 -11 22
21 Lugo 25 5 6 14 -14 21
22 Ibiza 25 4 5 16 -22 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugo Ibiza
9′
🟨 Papakouli Diop
Jaume Cuéllar 🟨
11′
40′
🟨 Fausto Grillo
Half-time 0–0
Josep Señé 🔁
↦ Javier Avilés
60′
Bruno Pirri 🟨
67′
72′
🔁 Nolito
↦ Suleiman Camara
Ángel Baena 🔁
↦ J. Cuéllar
74′
78′
🔁 L. Juliš
↦ Kaxe
Andoni López 🔁
↦ Bruno Pirri
83′
Marc Carbó 🔁
↦ M. El Hacen
83′
A. Pantić 🔁
↦ Zé Ricardo
84′
86′
🔁 W. Alarcón
↦ Ekain Zenitagoia
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Lugo

4-2-3-1
13 Óscar Whalley G
15 Miguel Loureiro D
20 Bruno Pirri D
21 Alberto Rodríguez D
12 Zé Ricardo D
18 M. El Hacen M
4 Clavería M
19 Javier Avilés M
7 Sebas Moyano M
29 J. Cuéllar M
9 Manu Barreiro F
Bench (10)
8 Josep Señé
11 Ángel Baena
17 Andoni López
22 Marc Carbó
3 A. Pantić
23 Jordi Calavera
28 Dani Vidal
24 Álex Pérez
1 P. Sequeira
27 Andrés Castrín

Coach: Fran Justo

Ibiza

4-4-2
13 Daniel Fuzato G
30 Joseda D
3 Martín Pascual D
6 F. Grillo D
24 G. Escobar D
28 Suleiman Camara M
4 Javi Serrano M
5 P. Diop M
8 M. Bogusz M
10 Ekain Zenitagoia F
16 Kaxe F
Bench (10)
9 Nolito
19 L. Juliš
21 W. Alarcón
2 Fran Grima
29 Isma Ruiz
12 Javi Vázquez
15 Juan Fernández
23 Coke
26 Jorge Chanza
1 Germán Parreño

Coach: Lucas Alcaraz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,43
U ✓
2,95
B
3,12
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,59
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Aitor Gorostegui · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.