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Eredivisie
Referee: E Blank
1–0
Full-time
Nijmegen
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 21%
21%
21%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
47%
26%
Both score Ø 61%
63%
58%
Average goals
3,3
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 14. · Nijmegen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 19 12 6 1 +27 42
2 AZ Alkmaar 20 12 5 3 +16 41
3 Ajax 20 11 7 2 +35 40
4 PSV Eindhoven 19 12 2 5 +24 38
5 Twente 17 10 5 2 +20 35
6 Sparta Rotterdam 18 9 6 3 +15 33
7 Utrecht 19 8 6 5 +0 30
8 Waalwijk 20 6 8 6 +0 26
9 Heerenveen 19 6 6 7 -3 24
10 Nijmegen 19 4 11 4 +3 23
11 For Sittard 20 6 5 9 -8 23
12 Vitesse 20 4 8 8 -12 20
13 Excelsior 20 6 2 12 -23 20
14 Go Ahead Eagles 19 4 7 8 -8 19
15 Volendam 20 4 5 11 -23 17
16 FC Emmen 20 3 7 10 -19 16
17 Groningen 19 3 3 13 -20 12
18 Cambuur 20 3 3 14 -24 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Nijmegen
1–0 F. Stokkers
I. Lidberg
35′
Half-time 1–0
F. Oppegård 🔁
↦ E. Llansana
46′
46′
🔁 C. Verdonk
↦ I. Cissoko
49′
🟨 Dirk Proper
X. Blomme 🔁
↦ B. Adekanye
62′
F. Mattiello 🔁
↦ P. Rommens
62′
64′
🟨 Calvin Verdonk
69′
🔁 I. Bronkhorst
↦ Pedro Marques
73′
🔁 A. Musaba
↦ L. Schöne
77′
🟨 Ilias Bronkhorst
S. Sow 🔁
↦ F. Stokkers
82′
89′
🟨 Souffian El Karouani
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-2-2
1 J. de Lange G
2 M. Deijl D
3 G. Nauber D
6 J. Idzes D
4 José Fontán D
21 E. Llansana M
10 P. Rommens M
18 W. Willumsson M
11 B. Adekanye M
27 F. Stokkers F
9 I. Lidberg F
Bench (9)
26 F. Oppegård
20 X. Blomme
33 F. Mattiello
19 S. Sow
17 Darío Serra
40 L. Plogmann
22 E. Mulder
7 R. Fernandes
24 J. Markelo

Coach: R. Hake

Nijmegen

4-2-3-1
22 J. Cillessen G
28 B. van Rooij D
4 Iván Márquez D
5 J. Kramer D
16 S. El Karouani D
20 L. Schöne M
71 D. Proper M
7 E. Tavşan M
14 O. Tannane M
21 I. Cissoko M
9 Pedro Marques F
Bench (8)
24 C. Verdonk
2 I. Bronkhorst
77 A. Musaba
31 R. Janse
1 M. Branderhorst
8 A. Baldursson
34 T. Sanniez
29 K. de Wit

Coach: R. Meijer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,44
U
3,39
B
2,81
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Blank · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.