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La Liga

Referee: Javier Iglesias

Girona

U U S T T

1–0

Full-time

Valencia

S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 26%

26%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

58%

53%

Both score Ø 66%

79%

53%

Average goals

2,9

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,29 xG 0,88

52% Possession 48%

20 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Girona 13. · Valencia 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	19	16	2	1	+32	+1.0	50
2	Real Madrid	20	14	3	3	+23	+3.5	45
3	Sociedad	19	12	3	4	+10	-0.0	39
4	Ath Madrid	20	10	5	5	+12	+3.8	35
5	Villarreal	20	9	4	7	+5	+0.6	31
6	Betis	20	9	4	7	+4	+0.1	31
7	Ath Bilbao	20	8	5	7	+8	-0.0	29
8	Vallecano	19	8	5	6	+3	-0.5	29
9	Osasuna	20	8	5	7	+0	-2.8	29
10	Mallorca	20	8	4	8	-2	-2.2	28
11	Celta	20	6	5	9	-10	-1.2	23
12	Almeria	19	6	4	9	-6	+0.9	22
13	Girona	19	5	6	8	-3	-2.4	21
14	Sevilla	19	5	6	8	-5	+4.1	21
15	Espanol	20	4	9	7	-6	+0.8	21
16	Valencia	19	5	5	9	+2	-1.8	20
17	Valladolid	19	6	2	11	-14	-2.8	20
18	Cadiz	20	4	7	9	-18	-0.4	19
19	Getafe	20	4	6	10	-10	-0.4	18
20	Elche	20	1	6	13	-25	-0.3	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	7	2	0	+18	-0.4	23
2	Real Madrid	9	6	3	0	+11	+2.9	21
3	Ath Bilbao	11	6	2	3	+9	+0.4	20
4	Villarreal	9	6	1	2	+7	+2.1	19
5	Almeria	10	6	1	3	+5	+1.3	19
6	Osasuna	10	6	0	4	+3	-1.4	18
7	Betis	10	5	2	3	+5	+0.3	17
8	Sociedad	9	5	2	2	+2	–	17
9	Mallorca	10	5	2	3	+2	-0.7	17
10	Valladolid	10	5	1	4	+0	+0.1	16
11	Ath Madrid	10	4	3	3	+5	+2.4	15
12	Girona	10	4	3	3	+1	-0.1	15
13	Valencia	10	4	2	4	+7	+0.4	14
14	Vallecano	9	4	2	3	+2	-0.8	14
15	Celta	10	3	4	3	+0	+0.4	13
16	Sevilla	10	3	3	4	-2	+4.1	12
17	Cadiz	10	2	5	3	-6	+1.5	11
18	Espanol	10	2	4	4	-4	+2.1	10
19	Getafe	10	2	3	5	-4	-1.2	9
20	Elche	10	1	3	6	-8	+2.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	9	0	1	+14	+1.3	27
2	Real Madrid	11	8	0	3	+12	+0.6	24
3	Sociedad	10	7	1	2	+8	-0.0	22
4	Ath Madrid	10	6	2	2	+7	+1.4	20
5	Vallecano	10	4	3	3	+1	+0.3	15
6	Betis	10	4	2	4	-1	-0.2	14
7	Villarreal	11	3	3	5	-2	-1.5	12
8	Espanol	10	2	5	3	-2	-1.3	11
9	Osasuna	10	2	5	3	-3	-1.5	11
10	Mallorca	10	3	2	5	-4	-1.5	11
11	Celta	10	3	1	6	-10	-1.6	10
12	Ath Bilbao	9	2	3	4	-1	-0.4	9
13	Sevilla	9	2	3	4	-3	–	9
14	Getafe	10	2	3	5	-6	+0.8	9
15	Cadiz	10	2	2	6	-12	-1.9	8
16	Girona	9	1	3	5	-4	-2.3	6
17	Valencia	9	1	3	5	-5	-2.2	6
18	Valladolid	9	1	1	7	-14	-2.9	4
19	Almeria	9	0	3	6	-11	-0.4	3
20	Elche	10	0	3	7	-17	-2.5	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.