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Super League
Referee: D Huwiler
Yverdon
U T S T S
3–1
Full-time
Lausanne
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Yverdon Lausanne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 32%
33%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
67%
58%
Both score Ø 64%
64%
64%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,39 xG 2,14
42% Possession 58%
9 Shots 19
6 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Yverdon 10. · Lausanne 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 33 19 8 6 +35 +2.8 65
2 Servette 34 17 9 8 +16 +27.9 60
3 Lugano 34 18 5 11 +16 +12.6 59
4 St. Gallen 34 15 8 11 +10 +15.2 53
5 Winterthur 34 13 10 11 -2 -7.1 49
6 Zurich 33 12 12 9 +9 +1.5 48
7 Luzern 34 12 9 13 -5 +1.7 45
8 Basel 34 11 8 15 -10 -4.5 41
9 Lausanne 33 10 10 13 -5 -0.2 40
10 Yverdon 33 11 7 15 -21 -17.8 40
11 Grasshoppers 34 9 6 19 -9 -11.1 33
12 Lausanne Ouchy 34 5 8 21 -34 -21.1 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Yverdon Lausanne
1–0 D. Kamenović ⚽
Liziero
9′
2–0 Kevin Carlos ⚽
A. Mahious
14′
3–0 Kevin Carlos ⚽
M. Olesen
17′
Mohamed Tijani 🟨
21′
Marley Aké 🟨
27′
William Le Pogam 🟨
41′
43′
🟨 Antoine Bernede
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 O. Custodio
↦ A. Bernede
46′
🔁 B. Labeau
↦ K. Sène
46′
🔁 M. Poaty
↦ C. Kablan
Mohamed Tijani 🟨
60′
Mohamed Tijani 🟥
60′
61′
⚽ N. Dussenne 3–1
R. Alves 🔁
↦ A. Mahious
64′
A. Sauthier 🔁
↦ M. Aké
64′
66′
🔁 H. Loucif
↦ R. Ilie
73′
🔁 S. Kukuruzović
↦ J. Roche
75′
🟨 Raoul Giger
N. Lusuena 🔁
↦ M. Olesen
86′
D. Del Fabro 🔁
↦ Kevin Carlos
92′
B. Malula 🔁
↦ Liziero
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Yverdon

3-4-1-2
40 P. Bernardoni G
25 Christian Marques D
2 M. Tijani D
3 D. Kamenović D
9 M. Aké M
28 Liziero M
5 B. Céspedes M
6 W. Le Pogam M
13 M. Olesen F
11 Kevin Carlos F
81 A. Mahious F
Bench (9)
17 R. Alves
32 A. Sauthier
18 N. Lusuena
4 D. Del Fabro
71 B. Malula
88 C. Lungoyi
22 K. Martin
23 N. Gunnarsson
7 Mauro Rodrigues

Coach: A. Mangiarratti

Lausanne

4-3-3
25 K. Letica G
34 R. Giger D
6 N. Dussenne D
12 G. Szalai D
20 C. Kablan D
30 S. Pafundi M
8 J. Roche M
24 A. Bernede M
19 R. Ilie F
9 K. Sène F
22 S. Kalu F
Bench (9)
10 O. Custodio
96 B. Labeau
18 M. Poaty
13 H. Loucif
7 S. Kukuruzović
2 S. Grippo
37 M. Nanizayamo
5 B. Dabanlı
1 T. Castella

Coach: L. Magnin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.