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Eredivisie

Referee: A Lindhout

Heracles

T S S T T

0–5

Full-time

Waalwijk

U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 24%

29%

19%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

71%

52%

Both score Ø 55%

55%

Average goals

3,4

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

2,1

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,78 xG 3,11

52% Possession 48%

16 Shots 19

5 Shots on target 10

2 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 9

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 14. · Waalwijk 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	31	27	3	1	+86	+64.1	84
2	Feyenoord	31	23	6	2	+56	+59.0	75
3	Twente	31	19	6	6	+28	+18.0	63
4	AZ Alkmaar	31	17	7	7	+27	+15.8	58
5	Ajax	31	13	10	8	+7	+9.5	49
6	Nijmegen	30	12	10	8	+12	-13.7	46
7	Sparta Rotterdam	31	12	7	12	+3	-6.3	43
8	Utrecht	30	11	10	9	+1	-3.5	43
9	Go Ahead Eagles	30	11	9	10	+4	-5.3	42
10	Heerenveen	32	10	7	15	-14	-5.9	37
11	For Sittard	32	9	9	14	-19	+2.5	36
12	Zwolle	31	9	8	14	-16	-11.9	35
13	Almere City	32	7	13	12	-20	-15.6	34
14	Heracles	31	9	5	17	-24	-21.9	32
15	Excelsior	31	5	11	15	-20	-13.4	26
16	Waalwijk	31	6	7	18	-21	-13.8	25
17	Vitesse	31	5	5	21	-45	-25.2	20
18	Volendam	31	4	7	20	-45	-32.4	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	14	1	0	+39	+34.0	43
2	Twente	16	13	1	2	+18	+16.2	40
3	Feyenoord	15	11	3	1	+32	+32.7	36
4	AZ Alkmaar	15	10	2	3	+22	+16.9	32
5	Ajax	16	8	6	2	+15	+11.6	30
6	Nijmegen	15	8	3	4	+11	+2.4	27
7	For Sittard	16	7	5	4	+7	+13.8	26
8	Go Ahead Eagles	16	7	4	5	+11	+5.4	25
9	Utrecht	14	6	5	3	+5	+3.1	23
10	Heerenveen	16	6	3	7	-4	+3.9	21
11	Heracles	15	6	3	6	-5	-6.1	21
12	Sparta Rotterdam	16	5	5	6	-1	+2.1	20
13	Zwolle	16	5	3	8	-11	+2.9	18
14	Waalwijk	16	4	5	7	-5	-2.6	17
15	Excelsior	15	3	7	5	-2	+2.5	16
16	Almere City	16	3	7	6	-9	-5.0	16
17	Vitesse	16	2	5	9	-15	-6.7	11
18	Volendam	15	3	2	10	-24	-8.9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	13	2	1	+47	+30.1	41
2	Feyenoord	16	12	3	1	+24	+26.4	39
3	AZ Alkmaar	16	7	5	4	+5	-1.2	26
4	Twente	15	6	5	4	+10	+1.7	23
5	Sparta Rotterdam	15	7	2	6	+4	-8.4	23
6	Utrecht	16	5	5	6	-4	-6.7	20
7	Nijmegen	15	4	7	4	+1	-16.1	19
8	Ajax	15	5	4	6	-8	-2.1	19
9	Almere City	16	4	6	6	-11	-10.6	18
10	Zwolle	15	4	5	6	-5	-14.8	17
11	Go Ahead Eagles	14	4	5	5	-7	-10.7	17
12	Heerenveen	16	4	4	8	-10	-9.8	16
13	Heracles	16	3	2	11	-19	-15.7	11
14	Excelsior	16	2	4	10	-18	-15.9	10
15	For Sittard	16	2	4	10	-26	-11.3	10
16	Vitesse	15	3	0	12	-30	-18.5	9
17	Waalwijk	15	2	2	11	-16	-11.2	8
18	Volendam	16	1	5	10	-21	-23.5	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.