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Bundesliga
Referee: C Jäeger
Sturm Graz
S S S S U
1–1
Full-time
Hartberg
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 50%
62%
38%
Points per game
2,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
45%
69%
Both score Ø 54%
48%
59%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
8 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 4
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 1. · Hartberg 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 29 18 8 3 +31 62
2 Salzburg 29 18 7 4 +37 61
3 LASK 29 13 9 7 +14 48
4 Austria Vienna 30 11 10 9 +4 43
5 Hartberg 29 11 8 10 -2 41
6 Wolfsberger AC 30 10 10 10 -4 40
7 SK Rapid 29 9 12 8 +12 39
8 A. Klagenfurt 29 9 12 8 -5 39
9 BW Linz 30 7 11 12 -13 32
10 Altach 30 5 12 13 -14 27
11 Tirol 30 7 5 18 -23 26
12 A. Lustenau 30 3 8 19 -37 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sturm Graz Hartberg
Jon Gorenc Stanković ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
7′
Jon Gorenc Stanković 🟥
9′
17′
M. Entrup 0–1
T. Kainz
David Affengruber 🟨
27′
D. Schnegg 🔁
↦ D. Affengruber
32′
33′
🟨 Tobias Kainz
Half-time 0–1
M. Johnston 🔁
↦ J. Gazibegović
46′
56′
🟨 Maximilian Entrup
1–1 O. Kiteishvili
58′
Mika Biereth 🟨
62′
S. Jatta 🔁
↦ M. Biereth
64′
Seedy Jatta 🟨
65′
65′
🔁 O. Diakité
↦ T. Kainz
69′
🔁 M. Fillafer
↦ M. Entrup
80′
🔁 J. Halwachs
↦ D. Frieser
80′
🔁 M. Steinwender
↦ D. Prokop
S. Hierländer 🔁
↦ T. Horvat
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
16 V. Jaroš G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
24 D. Lavalée D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
18 M. Biereth F
15 W. Bøving F
Bench (7)
28 D. Schnegg
2 M. Johnston
20 S. Jatta
25 S. Hierländer
36 A. Camara
35 N. Geyrhofer
31 L. Marić

Coach: C. Ilzer

Hartberg

4-1-4-1
1 R. Sallinger G
28 J. Heil D
14 P. Komposch D
5 I. Bowat D
20 M. Pfeifer D
23 T. Kainz M
33 D. Frieser M
27 D. Prokop M
45 M. Sangaré M
10 D. Avdijaj M
11 M. Entrup F
Bench (7)
32 O. Diakité
37 M. Fillafer
25 J. Halwachs
12 M. Steinwender
39 T. Knoflach
95 D. Kovacevic
3 A. Brückner

Coach: M. Schopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Jäeger · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.