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Serie B
Referee: M Mariani
Cittadella
S U U U T
1–1
Full-time
Bari
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Bari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
This season — Serie B · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 25%
31%
19%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
42%
39%
Both score Ø 59%
56%
61%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 13. · Bari 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 36 21 11 4 +31 74
2 Como 36 21 8 7 +18 71
3 Venezia 36 20 7 9 +23 67
4 Cremonese 36 18 9 9 +15 63
5 Catanzaro 36 17 9 10 +12 60
6 Palermo 36 14 10 12 +8 52
7 Sampdoria 36 14 9 13 +0 51
8 Brescia 36 11 15 10 +3 48
9 Sudtirol 36 12 10 14 -1 46
10 Reggiana 36 10 16 10 -6 46
11 Cosenza 36 11 12 13 +5 45
12 Pisa 36 11 12 13 -2 45
13 Cittadella 36 11 12 13 -4 45
14 Modena 36 9 16 11 -7 43
15 Spezia 36 8 16 12 -14 40
16 Ascoli 36 8 13 15 -5 37
17 Ternana 36 9 10 17 -9 37
18 Bari 36 7 16 13 -13 37
19 FeralpiSalo 36 8 9 19 -19 33
20 Lecco 36 6 8 22 -35 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cittadella Bari
1–0 F. Pittarello
F. Giraudo
6′
16′
M. Nasti 1–1
G. Acampora
23′
🔁 I. Achik
↦ M. Maita
Half-time 1–1
A. Magrassi 🔁
↦ E. Sottini
46′
S. Branca 🔁
↦ G. Carriero
56′
V. Mastrantonio 🔁
↦ C. Cassano
56′
59′
🔁 G. Puşcaş
↦ K. Lulić
Federico Giraudo 🟨
60′
A. Rizza 🔁
↦ F. Giraudo
76′
80′
🔁 Y. Kallon
↦ M. Nasti
80′
🔁 R. Maiello
↦ G. Acampora
80′
🔁 E. Matino
↦ V. Di Cesare
84′
🟨 Giacomo Ricci
N. Saggionetto 🔁
↦ A. Tessiore
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cittadella

3-5-2
36 E. Kastrati G
4 M. Angeli D
26 N. Pavan D
6 E. Sottini D
18 A. Tessiore M
16 A. Vita M
8 F. Amatucci M
20 G. Carriero M
98 F. Giraudo M
10 C. Cassano F
11 F. Pittarello F
Bench (12)
9 A. Magrassi
23 S. Branca
5 V. Mastrantonio
28 A. Rizza
21 N. Saggionetto
2 A. Salvi
7 L. Pandolfi
64 A. Cecchetto
32 T. Maistrello
27 A. Danzi
77 L. Maniero
1 F. Veneran

Coach: E. Gorini

Bari

4-3-1-2
38 M. Pissardo G
93 M. Dorval D
6 V. Di Cesare D
23 F. Vicari D
31 G. Ricci D
4 M. Maita M
8 Ahmad Benali M
14 K. Lulić M
44 G. Acampora M
20 G. Sibilli F
9 M. Nasti F
Bench (12)
11 I. Achik
47 G. Puşcaş
91 Y. Kallon
17 R. Maiello
5 E. Matino
25 R. Pucino
32 V. Colangiuli
77 G. Morachioli
22 Brenno
19 A. Guiébré
21 Ž. Žužek
49 M. Aramu

Coach: F. Giampaolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,49
U ✓
3,06
B
2,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,42
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.