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Super League

Referee: S Schärer

Winterthur

T T T T T

1–0

Full-time

Grasshoppers

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Grasshoppers

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

0,3

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

13%

25%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 51%

38%

63%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

0,6

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,23 xG 1,47

43% Possession 57%

15 Shots 18

6 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Winterthur 12. · Grasshoppers 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Luzern	9	5	3	1	+6	+2.1	18
2	Zurich	8	5	2	1	+6	+0.4	17
3	Lugano	8	5	2	1	+5	+0.9	17
4	Servette	8	5	1	2	-2	-2.9	16
5	St. Gallen	8	4	1	3	+6	-0.1	13
6	Sion	9	3	3	3	+3	+6.0	12
7	Basel	8	3	1	4	+6	+2.3	10
8	Yverdon	9	2	3	4	-5	-5.9	9
9	Grasshoppers	8	2	2	4	-3	+2.6	8
10	Lausanne	9	2	2	5	-6	+3.3	8
11	Young Boys	8	1	3	4	-5	-2.7	6
12	Winterthur	8	1	1	6	-11	-5.9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	4	3	1	0	+5	-0.9	10
2	Luzern	5	3	1	1	+4	+3.0	10
3	Lugano	5	3	1	1	+3	+2.6	10
4	St. Gallen	4	3	0	1	+7	+1.0	9
5	Sion	5	2	3	0	+6	+7.5	9
6	Servette	4	3	0	1	-2	-2.0	9
7	Yverdon	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.9	7
8	Lausanne	4	2	0	2	+1	+3.2	6
9	Grasshoppers	4	1	2	1	-1	+3.2	5
10	Winterthur	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.4	4
11	Basel	3	1	0	2	-1	+2.3	3
12	Young Boys	4	0	2	2	-2	-4.3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Luzern	4	2	2	0	+2	-0.9	8
2	Basel	5	2	1	2	+7	-0.0	7
3	Lugano	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.8	7
4	Zurich	4	2	1	1	+1	+1.3	7
5	Servette	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.9	7
6	St. Gallen	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.2	4
7	Young Boys	4	1	1	2	-3	+1.6	4
8	Grasshoppers	4	1	0	3	-2	-0.7	3
9	Sion	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.5	3
10	Yverdon	5	0	2	3	-5	-5.0	2
11	Lausanne	5	0	2	3	-7	+0.0	2
12	Winterthur	4	0	0	4	-8	-4.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.