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Super League
Referee: S Horisberger
Servette
U T U T S
1–1
Full-time
Winterthur
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Winterthur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 35%
50%
19%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
69%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
63%
44%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,74 xG 1,14
48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Servette 3. · Winterthur 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lugano 17 9 4 4 +9 +2.5 31
2 Basel 16 9 2 5 +22 +11.5 29
3 Servette 16 8 4 4 +3 +0.2 28
4 Lausanne 17 8 3 6 +6 +9.4 27
5 Zurich 17 7 6 4 +1 -2.8 27
6 Luzern 17 7 5 5 +2 +1.8 26
7 Sion 17 6 5 6 +3 +6.8 23
8 St. Gallen 16 5 6 5 +4 -5.1 21
9 Young Boys 17 5 5 7 -5 +1.6 20
10 Yverdon 17 4 5 8 -11 -11.3 17
11 Grasshoppers 17 2 6 9 -11 -0.8 12
12 Winterthur 16 3 3 10 -23 -13.8 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Sep -24 Winterthur – Servette 0–1 4. May -24 Servette – Winterthur 2–1 30. Mar -24 Winterthur – Servette 1–0 23. Jan -24 Winterthur – Servette 3–3 27. Sep -23 Servette – Winterthur 2–2

Match report

Servette Winterthur
1–0 D. Kutesa ⚽
A. Baron
9′
Half-time 1–0
J. Guillemenot 🔁
↦ J. von Moos
55′
59′
⚽ A. Baroan 1–1
R. Arnold
Théo Magnin 🟨
66′
68′
🟨 Basil Stillhart
72′
🔁 L. Bajrami
↦ A. Baroan
72′
🔁 J. Lukembila
↦ N. Burkart
U. Simbakoli 🔁
↦ E. Crivelli
73′
81′
🔁 L. Zuffi
↦ M. Di Giusto
92′
🔁 M. Araz
↦ A. Durrer
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Servette

4-2-3-1
32 J. Frick G
3 K. Tsunemoto D
4 S. Rouiller D
19 Y. Severin D
20 T. Magnin D
6 A. Baron M
5 G. Ondoua M
11 J. von Moos M
9 M. Stevanović M
17 D. Kutesa M
27 E. Crivelli F
Bench (6)
21 J. Guillemenot
22 U. Simbakoli
31 T. Ouattara
1 J. Mall
34 L. Srdanovic
25 K. Adams

Coach: T. Häberli

Winterthur

4-2-3-1
1 S. Kapino G
4 B. Stillhart D
23 G. Lekaj D
5 L. Mühl D
3 T. Schättin D
16 R. Arnold M
22 A. Durrer M
10 M. Di Giusto M
99 N. Burkart M
6 R. Schneider M
28 A. Baroan F
Bench (9)
84 L. Bajrami
90 J. Lukembila
7 L. Zuffi
8 M. Araz
24 S. Sidler
15 C. Gomis
30 M. Kuster
21 L. Lüthi
9 R. Buess

Coach: O. Zaric

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Horisberger · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.