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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Young Boys
T S T U S
6–2
Full-time
Basel
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
4,8
Scored
1,2
4,0
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+3,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 51%
44%
58%
Points per game
1,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
58%
61%
Both score Ø 60%
58%
61%
Average goals
2,8
3,4
Scored
1,5
2,4
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,70 xG 2,75
42% Possession 58%
15 Shots 19
9 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Young Boys 3. · Basel 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Basel 36 21 7 8 +48 +22.4 70
2 Servette 36 16 11 9 +8 -0.7 59
3 Young Boys 36 16 9 11 +7 +8.2 57
4 Zurich 37 15 8 14 +0 -2.2 53
5 Luzern 36 14 10 12 +7 +9.5 52
6 St. Gallen 37 13 13 11 +1 -3.7 52
7 Lugano 36 15 7 14 -3 +7.9 52
8 Lausanne 36 14 9 13 +8 +10.1 51
9 Sion 37 11 11 15 -8 -0.1 44
10 Winterthur 37 10 7 20 -27 -21.7 37
11 Grasshoppers 37 8 12 17 -12 -12.6 36
12 Yverdon 37 8 12 17 -29 -17.1 36

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Young Boys Basel
Sandro Lauper 🟨
1′
7′
A. Ajeti 0–1
M. Šotiček
1–1 C. Itten
Z. Athekame
9′
Ebrima Colley 🟨
17′
17′
🟨 Leon Avdullahu
21′
ℹ️ Marin Šotiček
VAR: Penalty cancelled
29′
🟨 Marwin Hitz
2–1 D. Males
29′
T. Zoukrou 🔁
↦ S. Lauper
35′
Half-time 2–1
Abdu Conté 🔁
↦ J. Hadjam
46′
3–1 C. Itten
E. Colley
46′
55′
🔁 L. Leroy
↦ Metinho
55′
🔁 P. Otele
↦ M. Šotiček
F. Ugrinic 🔁
↦ E. Colley
68′
70′
🔁 Kevin Carlos
↦ B. Traoré
72′
Kevin Carlos 3–2
P. Otele
C. Bedia 🔁
↦ C. Itten
80′
A. Virginius 🔁
↦ Ł. Łakomy
80′
84′
🔁 G. Sigua
↦ M. Cissé
84′
🔁 J. Mendes
↦ L. Avdullahu
4–2 C. Fassnacht
86′
5–2 C. Bedia
A. Virginius
89′
6–2 C. Fassnacht
F. Ugrinic
93′
Full-time 6–2

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-4-2
33 M. Keller G
24 Z. Athekame D
30 S. Lauper D
23 L. Benito D
3 J. Hadjam D
39 D. Males M
45 R. Raveloson M
8 Ł. Łakomy M
16 C. Fassnacht M
9 C. Itten F
11 E. Colley F
Bench (9)
4 T. Zoukrou
22 Abdu Conté
7 F. Ugrinic
29 C. Bedia
21 A. Virginius
10 K. Imeri
26 D. von Ballmoos
14 M. Chaiwa
27 L. Blum

Coach: G. Contini

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hitz G
30 A. Kade D
32 J. Adjetey D
3 N. Vouilloz D
29 M. Cissé D
37 L. Avdullahu M
5 Metinho M
10 X. Shaqiri M
19 M. Šotiček M
11 B. Traoré M
23 A. Ajeti F
Bench (9)
22 L. Leroy
7 P. Otele
9 Kevin Carlos
21 G. Sigua
17 J. Mendes
8 Romário Baró
27 K. Rüegg
13 M. Salvi
26 A. Barišić

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

U Schnyder · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.