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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Hartmann
Schalke 04
T U T T T
1–2
Full-time
Elversberg
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Elversberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,8
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 38%
30%
45%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
64%
58%
Both score Ø 58%
64%
52%
Average goals
3,4
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,9
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 1
0 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 13. · Elversberg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 33 16 11 6 +35 59
2 FC Koln 33 17 7 9 +11 58
3 Elversberg 33 15 10 8 +26 55
4 Paderborn 33 15 10 8 +13 55
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 33 14 11 8 +7 53
6 Kaiserslautern 33 15 8 10 +5 53
7 Magdeburg 33 13 11 9 +10 50
8 Hannover 33 13 11 9 +5 50
9 Karlsruhe 33 13 10 10 -1 49
10 Nurnberg 33 13 6 14 +0 45
11 Hertha 33 12 7 14 -2 43
12 Darmstadt 33 10 9 14 -1 39
13 Schalke 04 33 10 8 15 -9 38
14 Greuther Furth 33 9 9 15 -15 36
15 Preußen Münster 33 8 11 14 -3 35
16 Braunschweig 33 8 11 14 -23 35
17 Ulm 33 6 11 16 -12 29
18 Regensburg 33 6 7 20 -46 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Elversberg
18′
ℹ️ Lukas Petkov
VAR: Goal cancelled
20′
L. Petkov 0–1
F. Asllani
38′
🟨 Florian Le Joncour
44′
🟨 Lukas Finn Pinckert
Half-time 0–2
47′
M. Neubauer 0–2
L. Petkov
Derry Murkin 🟨
52′
C. Antwi-Adjei 🔁
↦ M. Aydın
58′
Y. Ben Balla 🔁
↦ A. Gantenbein
58′
P. Lasogga 🔁
↦ M. Grüger
70′
A. Donkor 🔁
↦ D. Murkin
78′
A. Younes 🔁
↦ T. Mohr
78′
79′
🔁 L. Schnellbacher
↦ T. Zimmerschied
79′
🔁 M. Rohr
↦ L. Petkov
1–2 Y. Ben Balla
A. Younes
85′
86′
🔁 F. Schmahl
↦ F. Asllani
86′
🔁 C. Sickinger
↦ S. Şahin
Christopher Antwi-Adjei 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-4-2
28 J. Heekeren G
17 A. Gantenbein D
31 T. Bulut D
35 M. Kamiński D
5 D. Murkin D
23 M. Aydın M
6 R. Schallenberg M
37 M. Grüger M
29 T. Mohr M
9 M. Sylla F
19 K. Karaman F
Bench (9)
18 C. Antwi-Adjei
21 Y. Ben Balla
11 P. Lasogga
30 A. Donkor
8 A. Younes
10 P. Meïssa Ba
2 F. Sánchez
34 M. Langer
16 M. Zalazar

Coach: J. Fimpel

Elversberg

4-2-3-1
20 N. Kristof G
2 E. Baum D
19 L. Pinckert D
3 F. Le Joncour D
33 M. Neubauer D
6 R. Fellhauer M
8 S. Şahin M
25 L. Petkov M
30 M. Damar M
29 T. Zimmerschied M
10 F. Asllani F
Bench (9)
24 L. Schnellbacher
31 M. Rohr
17 F. Schmahl
23 C. Sickinger
22 Y. Ebnoutalib
21 P. Stock
28 T. Boss
27 F. Gerezgiher
7 M. Feil

Coach: H. Steffen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,57
U
4,32
B ✓
1,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,41
U2,5
2,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.