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2. Bundesliga

Referee: P Ittrich

Magdeburg

T S U T T

4–2

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 41%

39%

42%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

70%

58%

Both score Ø 64%

64%

Average goals

3,3

3,1

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

14 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Magdeburg 7. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	33	16	11	6	+35	59
2	FC Koln	33	17	7	9	+11	58
3	Elversberg	33	15	10	8	+26	55
4	Paderborn	33	15	10	8	+13	55
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	33	14	11	8	+7	53
6	Kaiserslautern	33	15	8	10	+5	53
7	Magdeburg	33	13	11	9	+10	50
8	Hannover	33	13	11	9	+5	50
9	Karlsruhe	33	13	10	10	-1	49
10	Nurnberg	33	13	6	14	+0	45
11	Hertha	33	12	7	14	-2	43
12	Darmstadt	33	10	9	14	-1	39
13	Schalke 04	33	10	8	15	-9	38
14	Greuther Furth	33	9	9	15	-15	36
15	Preußen Münster	33	8	11	14	-3	35
16	Braunschweig	33	8	11	14	-23	35
17	Ulm	33	6	11	16	-12	29
18	Regensburg	33	6	7	20	-46	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kaiserslautern	17	9	5	3	+12	32
2	Hamburg	17	8	7	2	+24	31
3	Hannover	17	8	7	2	+8	31
4	Elversberg	17	9	3	5	+14	30
5	FC Koln	16	8	4	4	+11	28
6	Karlsruhe	16	8	4	4	+4	28
7	Paderborn	17	8	3	6	+7	27
8	Nurnberg	17	8	2	7	+2	26
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	7	5	5	+2	26
10	Darmstadt	16	7	4	5	+7	25
11	Braunschweig	16	6	5	5	-1	23
12	Regensburg	17	6	5	6	-5	23
13	Schalke 04	16	6	3	7	-3	21
14	Greuther Furth	16	5	5	6	-5	20
15	Preußen Münster	17	4	7	6	+0	19
16	Magdeburg	16	4	7	5	-3	19
17	Ulm	16	4	4	8	-1	16
18	Hertha	16	4	4	8	-4	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	17	9	4	4	+13	31
2	FC Koln	17	9	3	5	+0	30
3	Hamburg	16	8	4	4	+11	28
4	Paderborn	16	7	7	2	+6	28
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	7	6	3	+5	27
6	Hertha	17	8	3	6	+2	27
7	Elversberg	16	6	7	3	+12	25
8	Karlsruhe	17	5	6	6	-5	21
9	Kaiserslautern	16	6	3	7	-7	21
10	Nurnberg	16	5	4	7	-2	19
11	Hannover	16	5	4	7	-3	19
12	Schalke 04	17	4	5	8	-6	17
13	Preußen Münster	16	4	4	8	-3	16
14	Greuther Furth	17	4	4	9	-10	16
15	Darmstadt	17	3	5	9	-8	14
16	Ulm	17	2	7	8	-11	13
17	Braunschweig	17	2	6	9	-22	12
18	Regensburg	16	0	2	14	-41	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.