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Bundesliga

Referee: M Gräfe

Dortmund

T S S S S

2–3

Full-time

Bayern Munich

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Bayern Munich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,5

5,5

Scored

2,2

4,0

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+2,5

This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,5

5,5

Scored

2,2

4,0

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

15 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

4 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dortmund 3. · Bayern Munich 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	7	5	1	1	+11	16
2	Bayern Munich	6	5	0	1	+15	15
3	Dortmund	6	5	0	1	+11	15
4	Union Berlin	7	3	3	1	+9	12
5	Leverkusen	6	3	3	0	+5	12
6	M'gladbach	6	3	2	1	+1	11
7	Stuttgart	7	2	4	1	+4	10
8	Werder Bremen	7	2	4	1	+0	10
9	Augsburg	7	3	1	3	-1	10
10	Ein Frankfurt	7	2	4	1	-2	10
11	Wolfsburg	6	1	5	0	+1	8
12	Hertha	7	2	1	4	+0	7
13	Hoffenheim	6	2	1	3	+0	7
14	Freiburg	7	1	3	3	-8	6
15	Bielefeld	7	1	1	5	-11	4
16	FC Koln	7	0	3	4	-5	3
17	Schalke 04	7	0	3	4	-17	3
18	Mainz	7	0	1	6	-13	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+14	9
3	Dortmund	3	3	0	0	+10	9
4	Union Berlin	4	2	1	1	+7	7
5	Augsburg	4	2	0	2	-1	6
6	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	M'gladbach	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Wolfsburg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Werder Bremen	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Leverkusen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Stuttgart	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Bielefeld	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Freiburg	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Schalke 04	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	FC Koln	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Hertha	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Mainz	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Stuttgart	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Hertha	4	2	0	2	+4	6
4	Bayern Munich	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Dortmund	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	M'gladbach	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Werder Bremen	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Union Berlin	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-3	5
10	RB Leipzig	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Freiburg	4	1	1	2	-6	4
14	Wolfsburg	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	FC Koln	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Bielefeld	4	0	1	3	-7	1
17	Schalke 04	4	0	1	3	-15	1
18	Mainz	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.