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Bundesliga

Referee: M Petersen

Leverkusen

T S S U T

2–2

Full-time

Werder Bremen

S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Werder Bremen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 76%

63%

88%

Both score Ø 63%

38%

88%

Average goals

2,9

3,8

Scored

1,5

1,6

Conceded

1,4

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%

21 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

9 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 9. · Werder Bremen 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	9	5	3	1	+13	18
2	Freiburg	9	5	2	2	+7	17
3	Dortmund	9	4	4	1	+9	16
4	M'gladbach	8	5	1	2	+8	16
5	Wolfsburg	8	4	4	0	+6	16
6	RB Leipzig	9	4	3	2	+7	15
7	Schalke 04	9	4	3	2	+5	15
8	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	2	2	+4	14
9	Leverkusen	8	4	2	2	+1	14
10	Hoffenheim	9	4	2	3	-2	14
11	Hertha	9	3	2	4	-1	11
12	Werder Bremen	8	2	3	3	-4	9
13	Mainz	9	3	0	6	-9	9
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	2	1	6	-6	7
15	Union Berlin	9	2	1	6	-6	7
16	FC Koln	9	2	1	6	-10	7
17	Augsburg	8	1	3	4	-11	6
18	Paderborn	9	1	1	7	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Bayern Munich	5	3	1	1	+9	10
3	Dortmund	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	Freiburg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
5	Leverkusen	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Wolfsburg	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Schalke 04	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	M'gladbach	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Mainz	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Hertha	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Union Berlin	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Hoffenheim	4	2	0	2	-3	6
13	RB Leipzig	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	Augsburg	4	1	2	1	-2	5
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Werder Bremen	4	1	1	2	-4	4
17	FC Koln	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Paderborn	5	1	0	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	5	3	1	1	+8	10
2	M'gladbach	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Freiburg	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Bayern Munich	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Wolfsburg	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Hoffenheim	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Schalke 04	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	Dortmund	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Leverkusen	4	2	0	2	-2	6
10	Hertha	5	1	2	2	+0	5
11	Werder Bremen	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	FC Koln	5	1	1	3	-6	4
13	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	0	4	-4	3
15	Mainz	5	1	0	4	-9	3
16	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Paderborn	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Augsburg	4	0	1	3	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.