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Bundesliga

Referee: T Welz

Hoffenheim

T S T S T

2–0

Full-time

RB Leipzig

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

1,8

2,8

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+2,2

This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 41%

36%

45%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

64%

55%

Both score Ø 46%

36%

55%

Average goals

3,3

3,1

Scored

1,7

2,1

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

24 Shots 4

8 Shots on target 0

5 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 2

4 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 10. · RB Leipzig 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	9	1	2	+28	28
2	Dortmund	11	8	0	3	+11	24
3	Freiburg	11	6	4	1	+9	22
4	Wolfsburg	11	6	1	4	+0	19
5	RB Leipzig	11	5	3	3	+12	18
6	Leverkusen	11	5	3	3	+7	18
7	Mainz	11	5	2	4	+4	17
8	Union Berlin	11	4	5	2	+0	17
9	M'gladbach	11	4	3	4	-1	15
10	Hoffenheim	11	4	2	5	+2	14
11	FC Koln	11	3	5	3	-3	14
12	Bochum	11	4	1	6	-8	13
13	Hertha	11	4	1	6	-12	13
14	Ein Frankfurt	11	2	6	3	-4	12
15	Augsburg	12	3	3	6	-10	12
16	Stuttgart	11	2	4	5	-5	10
17	Bielefeld	11	1	5	5	-9	8
18	Greuther Furth	11	0	1	10	-21	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Bayern Munich	6	5	0	1	+17	15
3	RB Leipzig	6	5	0	1	+14	15
4	FC Koln	6	3	3	0	+5	12
5	Freiburg	5	3	2	0	+6	11
6	Mainz	6	3	2	1	+6	11
7	M'gladbach	5	3	2	0	+4	11
8	Union Berlin	6	3	2	1	+1	11
9	Hoffenheim	5	3	1	1	+7	10
10	Bochum	5	3	1	1	+4	10
11	Wolfsburg	6	3	1	2	-1	10
12	Augsburg	6	3	1	2	-2	10
13	Stuttgart	6	2	1	3	+2	7
14	Hertha	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Leverkusen	5	2	0	3	-2	6
16	Ein Frankfurt	5	0	4	1	-1	4
17	Bielefeld	6	0	3	3	-7	3
18	Greuther Furth	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+11	13
2	Leverkusen	6	3	3	0	+9	12
3	Freiburg	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Wolfsburg	5	3	0	2	+1	9
5	Ein Frankfurt	6	2	2	2	-3	8
6	Dortmund	5	2	0	3	+0	6
7	Union Berlin	5	1	3	1	-1	6
8	Mainz	5	2	0	3	-2	6
9	Hertha	6	2	0	4	-12	6
10	Bielefeld	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Hoffenheim	6	1	1	4	-5	4
12	M'gladbach	6	1	1	4	-5	4
13	RB Leipzig	5	0	3	2	-2	3
14	Stuttgart	5	0	3	2	-7	3
15	Bochum	6	1	0	5	-12	3
16	FC Koln	5	0	2	3	-8	2
17	Augsburg	6	0	2	4	-8	2
18	Greuther Furth	6	0	0	6	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.