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Bundesliga
Referee: D Schlager
Leverkusen
S T U T U
1–0
Full-time
Bochum
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Bochum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 41%
45%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
64%
45%
Both score Ø 46%
64%
27%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,2
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leverkusen 6. · Bochum 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 12 9 1 2 +28 28
2 Dortmund 11 8 0 3 +11 24
3 Freiburg 11 6 4 1 +9 22
4 Wolfsburg 11 6 1 4 +0 19
5 RB Leipzig 11 5 3 3 +12 18
6 Leverkusen 11 5 3 3 +7 18
7 Mainz 11 5 2 4 +4 17
8 Union Berlin 11 4 5 2 +0 17
9 M'gladbach 11 4 3 4 -1 15
10 Hoffenheim 11 4 2 5 +2 14
11 FC Koln 11 3 5 3 -3 14
12 Bochum 11 4 1 6 -8 13
13 Hertha 11 4 1 6 -12 13
14 Ein Frankfurt 11 2 6 3 -4 12
15 Augsburg 12 3 3 6 -10 12
16 Stuttgart 11 2 4 5 -5 10
17 Bielefeld 11 1 5 5 -9 8
18 Greuther Furth 11 0 1 10 -21 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leverkusen Bochum
1–0 A. Adli
J. Frimpong
3′
Jeremie Frimpong 🟨
30′
Half-time 1–0
Moussa Diaby 🟨
49′
63′
🟨 Erhan Mašović
E. Palacios 🔁
↦ K. Demirbay
66′
70′
🔁 H. Bockhorn
↦ C. Antwi-Adjei
70′
🔁 M. Pantović
↦ E. Rexhbeçaj
Paulinho 🔁
↦ N. Amiri
76′
P. Hincapié 🔁
↦ D. Sinkgraven
76′
82′
🔁 S. Ganvoula
↦ S. Polter
82′
🔁 S. Novothny
↦ E. Löwen
Amine Adli 🟨
87′
91′
🟨 Danilo Soares
O. Kossounou 🔁
↦ F. Wirtz
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Leverkusen

4-4-2
1 L. Hrádecký G
4 J. Tah D
22 D. Sinkgraven D
30 J. Frimpong D
12 E. Tapsoba D
10 K. Demirbay M
8 R. Andrich M
11 N. Amiri M
31 A. Adli F
19 M. Diaby M
27 F. Wirtz F
Bench (9)
25 E. Palacios
7 Paulinho
33 P. Hincapié
6 O. Kossounou
36 N. Lomb
37 E. Gedikli
29 Z. Sertdemir
3 P. Retsos
40 A. Lunev

Coach: G. Seoane

Bochum

4-3-3
1 M. Riemann G
24 V. Lampropoulos D
3 Danilo Soares D
16 K. Stafylidis D
8 A. Losilla M
38 E. Löwen M
20 E. Rexhbeçaj M
4 E. Mašović D
40 S. Polter F
10 T. Asano F
22 C. Antwi-Adjei F
Bench (9)
11 H. Bockhorn
27 M. Pantović
35 S. Ganvoula
15 S. Novothny
13 R. Chibsah
32 T. Bonga
37 A. Bella-Kotchap
2 C. Gamboa
21 M. Esser

Coach: T. Reis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,40
U
5,04
B
7,77
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,54
U2,5 ✓
2,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.