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Bundesliga
Referee: T Reichel
Leverkusen
U T U S S
7–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,8
3,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-2,3
This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
54%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,1
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
62%
77%
Both score Ø 66%
62%
69%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,4
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-2,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leverkusen 3. · Greuther Furth 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 13 10 1 2 +29 31
2 Dortmund 13 10 0 3 +14 30
3 Leverkusen 13 7 3 3 +10 24
4 Union Berlin 14 6 5 3 +2 23
5 Freiburg 13 6 4 3 +6 22
6 Hoffenheim 13 6 2 5 +7 20
7 Wolfsburg 13 6 2 5 -2 20
8 RB Leipzig 14 5 3 6 +7 18
9 Mainz 13 5 3 5 +3 18
10 FC Koln 13 4 6 3 +0 18
11 M'gladbach 13 5 3 5 +0 18
12 Ein Frankfurt 13 4 6 3 -1 18
13 Bochum 13 5 1 7 -8 16
14 Hertha 13 4 2 7 -14 14
15 Stuttgart 13 3 4 6 -5 13
16 Augsburg 13 3 4 6 -10 13
17 Bielefeld 13 1 6 6 -10 9
18 Greuther Furth 13 0 1 12 -28 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leverkusen Greuther Furth
1–0 A. Adli
M. Diaby
12′
2–0 E. Tapsoba
F. Wirtz
17′
33′
J. Dudziak 2–1
38′
🟨 Jamie Leweling
3–1 P. Hincapié
P. Schick
45′
Half-time 4–1
4–1 P. Schick
A. Adli
49′
58′
🔁 P. Seguin
↦ J. Dudziak
60′
🔁 H. Nielsen
↦ J. Leweling
60′
🔁 M. Meyerhöfer
↦ J. Willems
K. Bellarabi 🔁
↦ A. Adli
62′
K. Demirbay 🔁
↦ R. Andrich
62′
C. Aránguiz 🔁
↦ E. Palacios
62′
5–1 P. Schick
M. Diaby
69′
6–1 P. Schick
74′
7–1 P. Schick
F. Wirtz
76′
77′
🔁 S. Asta
↦ A. Barry
77′
🔁 N. Seufert
↦ M. Christiansen
L. Alario 🔁
↦ P. Schick
80′
O. Kossounou 🔁
↦ J. Frimpong
81′
Full-time 7–1

Line-ups

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
4 J. Tah D
30 J. Frimpong D
12 E. Tapsoba D
33 P. Hincapié D
8 R. Andrich M
25 E. Palacios M
31 A. Adli M
14 P. Schick F
19 M. Diaby M
27 F. Wirtz M
Bench (9)
38 K. Bellarabi
10 K. Demirbay
20 C. Aránguiz
13 L. Alario
6 O. Kossounou
22 D. Sinkgraven
40 A. Lunev
11 N. Amiri
7 Paulinho

Coach: G. Seoane

Greuther Furth

4-4-1-1
1 M. Funk G
15 J. Willems D
4 M. Bauer D
32 A. Barry D
22 S. Griesbeck D
28 J. Dudziak F
13 M. Christiansen M
21 T. Tillman M
40 J. Leweling M
10 B. Hrgota M
11 D. Abiama F
Bench (9)
33 P. Seguin
16 H. Nielsen
18 M. Meyerhöfer
2 S. Asta
8 N. Seufert
37 J. Green
19 C. Itten
30 S. Burchert
14 H. Sarpei

Coach: S. Leitl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,24
U
6,68
B
11,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,34
U2,5
3,31
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Reichel · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.