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Bundesliga
Referee: M Fritz
Ein Frankfurt
U S S S T
5–2
Full-time
Leverkusen
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 43%
29%
57%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
43%
64%
Both score Ø 72%
79%
64%
Average goals
2,7
3,9
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 12. · Leverkusen 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 15 12 1 2 +31 37
2 Dortmund 15 10 1 4 +13 31
3 Leverkusen 14 8 3 3 +16 27
4 Hoffenheim 15 8 2 5 +9 26
5 Freiburg 15 7 4 4 +11 25
6 Union Berlin 15 6 5 4 +1 23
7 RB Leipzig 15 6 3 6 +10 21
8 Mainz 15 6 3 6 +5 21
9 Bochum 15 6 2 7 -7 20
10 Wolfsburg 15 6 2 7 -7 20
11 FC Koln 15 4 7 4 -2 19
12 Ein Frankfurt 14 4 6 4 -2 18
13 M'gladbach 15 5 3 7 -9 18
14 Hertha 15 5 3 7 -12 18
15 Stuttgart 15 4 5 6 -3 17
16 Augsburg 15 4 4 7 -9 16
17 Bielefeld 15 1 7 7 -12 10
18 Greuther Furth 15 1 1 13 -33 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Leverkusen
5′
P. Schick 0–1
R. Andrich
20′
ℹ️ Edmond Tapsoba
VAR: Penalty awarded
22′
P. Schick 0–2
1–2 Tuta
23′
2–2 J. Lindstrøm
D. Sow
30′
Half-time 2–2
J. Hauge 🔁
↦ J. Lindstrøm
46′
48′
🟨 Jeremie Frimpong
3–2 O. N'Dicka
50′
55′
🟨 Charles Aránguiz
61′
🟨 Piero Hincapie
C. Lenz 🔁
↦ J. Hauge
64′
4–2 K. Jakić
66′
67′
🔁 E. Palacios
↦ R. Andrich
67′
🔁 K. Demirbay
↦ C. Aránguiz
75′
🔁 K. Bellarabi
↦ J. Frimpong
5–2 D. Sow
R. Borré
76′
80′
🔁 L. Alario
↦ P. Schick
81′
🔁 N. Amiri
↦ F. Wirtz
S. Rode 🔁
↦ D. Sow
85′
A. Touré 🔁
↦ D. da Costa
85′
S. Lammers 🔁
↦ D. Kamada
87′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 K. Trapp G
13 M. Hinteregger D
24 D. da Costa M
2 O. N'Dicka D
35 Tuta D
10 F. Kostić M
8 D. Sow M
15 D. Kamada F
6 K. Jakić M
29 J. Lindstrøm F
19 R. Borré F
Bench (9)
23 J. Hauge
25 C. Lenz
17 S. Rode
18 A. Touré
9 S. Lammers
20 M. Hasebe
40 D. Ramaj
22 T. Chandler
39 Gonçalo Paciência

Coach: O. Glasner

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
4 J. Tah D
30 J. Frimpong D
12 E. Tapsoba D
33 P. Hincapié D
20 C. Aránguiz M
8 R. Andrich M
31 A. Adli M
14 P. Schick F
19 M. Diaby M
27 F. Wirtz M
Bench (9)
25 E. Palacios
10 K. Demirbay
38 K. Bellarabi
13 L. Alario
11 N. Amiri
6 O. Kossounou
40 A. Lunev
22 D. Sinkgraven
7 Paulinho

Coach: G. Seoane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,25
U
3,76
B
2,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,38
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Fritz · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.