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Bundesliga
Referee: R Hartmann
Hertha
T T S S T
1–1
Full-time
Leverkusen
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
40%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
80%
70%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,4
3,9
Scored
1,1
2,3
Conceded
2,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
15 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
3 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 13. · Leverkusen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 11 9 1 1 +29 28
2 Dortmund 11 8 0 3 +11 24
3 Freiburg 11 6 4 1 +9 22
4 Wolfsburg 11 6 1 4 +0 19
5 RB Leipzig 11 5 3 3 +12 18
6 Leverkusen 10 5 2 3 +7 17
7 Mainz 11 5 2 4 +4 17
8 Union Berlin 10 4 4 2 +0 16
9 M'gladbach 11 4 3 4 -1 15
10 Hoffenheim 11 4 2 5 +2 14
11 FC Koln 10 3 4 3 -3 13
12 Bochum 11 4 1 6 -8 13
13 Hertha 10 4 0 6 -12 12
14 Stuttgart 11 2 4 5 -5 10
15 Ein Frankfurt 10 1 6 3 -5 9
16 Augsburg 11 2 3 6 -11 9
17 Bielefeld 11 1 5 5 -9 8
18 Greuther Furth 10 0 1 9 -20 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Leverkusen
26′
ℹ️ Robert Andrich
VAR: Goal confirmed
30′
🟨 Exequiel Palacios
1–0 S. Jovetić
M. Mittelstädt
42′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🟨 Kerem Demirbay
61′
🔁 D. Sinkgraven
↦ P. Hincapié
61′
🔁 N. Amiri
↦ E. Palacios
Vladimír Darida 🟨
64′
D. Selke 🔁
↦ S. Jovetić
73′
79′
🟨 Moussa Diaby
79′
🔁 Iker Bravo
↦ Paulinho
K. Boateng 🔁
↦ V. Darida
80′
L. Tousart 🔁
↦ S. Ascacíbar
80′
86′
🔁 Z. Sertdemir
↦ J. Frimpong
86′
🔁 O. Kossounou
↦ A. Adli
D. Jastrzembski 🔁
↦ M. Mittelstädt
88′
J. Ekkelenkamp 🔁
↦ M. Richter
88′
90′
R. Andrich 1–1
O. Kossounou
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
1 A. Schwolow G
2 P. Pekarík D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
5 N. Stark D
17 M. Mittelstädt M
31 M. Dárdai D
6 V. Darida M
8 S. Serdar M
18 S. Ascacíbar M
19 S. Jovetić F
23 M. Richter M
Bench (9)
7 D. Selke
27 K. Boateng
29 L. Tousart
30 D. Jastrzembski
10 J. Ekkelenkamp
14 I. Belfodil
44 L. Gechter
32 O. Christensen
9 K. Piątek

Coach: P. Dárdai

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
4 J. Tah D
30 J. Frimpong D
12 E. Tapsoba D
33 P. Hincapié D
10 K. Demirbay M
8 R. Andrich M
25 E. Palacios M
31 A. Adli F
19 M. Diaby M
7 Paulinho M
Bench (8)
22 D. Sinkgraven
11 N. Amiri
28 Iker Bravo
29 Z. Sertdemir
6 O. Kossounou
3 P. Retsos
40 A. Lunev
36 N. Lomb

Coach: G. Seoane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,53
U ✓
3,59
B
2,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.