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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero
Getafe
S T U T U
1–1
Full-time
Alaves
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
1,5
0,5
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
15 Shots 5
1 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 2
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 17. · Alaves 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Bilbao 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Sevilla 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Ath Madrid 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Osasuna 3 1 2 0 +1 5
5 Barcelona 3 1 1 1 +2 4
6 Real Madrid 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Valladolid 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Alaves 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Celta 3 1 1 1 -1 4
10 Sociedad 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Mallorca 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Levante 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Villarreal 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Granada 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Valencia 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Eibar 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Getafe 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Espanol 2 0 1 1 -2 1
19 Leganes 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Betis 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Alaves
Jorge Molina 🟨
12′
1–0 Jorge Molina
Cucurella
24′
31′
Joselu 1–1
Mauro Arambarri 🟨
33′
Half-time 1–1
Portillo 🔁
↦ F. Fajr
57′
Ángel 🔁
↦ Mata
61′
68′
🔁 Luis Rioja
↦ Adrián Marín
Bergara 🔁
↦ Timor
69′
77′
🔁 Lucas Pérez
↦ Aleix Vidal
87′
🔁 Alberto Rodríguez
↦ Manu García
Markel Bergara 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Mubarak Wakaso
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
22 Damián Suárez D
2 Djené D
6 Leandro Cabrera D
12 Allan Nyom D
21 Fayçal Fajr M
18 Mauro Arambarri M
24 David Timor M
15 Marc Cucurella M
19 Jorge Molina F
7 Jaime Mata F
Bench (7)
1 Leandro Chichizola
14 Raúl García
4 Bruno González
5 Markel Bergara
8 Francisco Portillo
10 Enric Gallego
9 Ángel Rodríguez

Coach: José Bordalás

Alaves

5-3-2
13 Antonio Sivera G
21 Martín Aguirregabiria D
5 Víctor Laguardia D
4 Rodrigo Ely D
3 Rubén Duarte D
17 Adrián Marín D
22 Mubarak Wakaso M
8 Tomás Pina M
19 Manu García M
18 Aleix Vidal F
9 Joselu F
Bench (7)
1 Fernando Pacheco
27 Alberto Rodríguez
20 Pere Pons
29 Borja Sainz
15 Javier Muñoz
11 Luis Rioja
7 Lucas Pérez

Coach: Asier Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
U ✓
3,34
B
5,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,74
U2,5 ✓
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.