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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernández

Alaves

T S S U U

0–1

Full-time

Sevilla

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,0

1,7

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%

7 Shots 19

0 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 10

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 6

1 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 7

5 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 10. · Sevilla 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	4	3	0	1	+1	9
2	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Ath Bilbao	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Sevilla	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Levante	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Villarreal	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	Osasuna	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Alaves	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Granada	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Celta	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Valladolid	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Valencia	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Mallorca	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Espanol	4	1	1	2	-4	4
17	Betis	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Getafe	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Eibar	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Leganes	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Levante	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Celta	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Villarreal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Osasuna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Getafe	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Granada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Leganes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
19	Espanol	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Granada	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Valladolid	3	1	1	1	-1	4
6	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-1	4
7	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Ath Bilbao	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Barcelona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Leganes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Levante	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Betis	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.