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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Barcelona

U S T S S

4–0

Full-time

Sevilla

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,2

2,5

Scored

2,7

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 57%

57%

Points per game

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

57%

29%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

3,7

2,4

Scored

2,3

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

55% Possession 45%

15 Shots 16

8 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 10

3 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 12

5 Yellow cards 3

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 4. · Sevilla 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	8	5	3	0	+8	18
2	Ath Madrid	8	4	3	1	+3	15
3	Granada	8	4	2	2	+5	14
4	Barcelona	7	4	1	2	+6	13
5	Sociedad	8	4	1	3	+4	13
6	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+3	13
7	Ath Bilbao	8	3	3	2	+3	12
8	Valencia	8	3	3	2	+0	12
9	Villarreal	8	3	2	3	+6	11
10	Levante	8	3	2	3	+0	11
11	Osasuna	8	2	5	1	+0	11
12	Getafe	8	2	4	2	+0	10
13	Valladolid	8	2	4	2	-1	10
14	Eibar	8	2	3	3	+0	9
15	Celta	8	2	3	3	-4	9
16	Betis	8	2	3	3	-5	9
17	Alaves	8	2	2	4	-4	8
18	Mallorca	8	2	1	5	-6	7
19	Espanol	8	1	2	5	-10	5
20	Leganes	8	0	2	6	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Ath Bilbao	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Valencia	5	2	3	0	+3	9
5	Villarreal	4	2	2	0	+6	8
6	Levante	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Betis	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+2	8
9	Alaves	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Mallorca	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Celta	5	2	1	2	-2	7
12	Sociedad	3	2	0	1	+4	6
13	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
14	Granada	3	2	0	1	+2	6
15	Osasuna	4	1	3	0	+1	6
16	Getafe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
17	Sevilla	3	1	1	1	+0	4
18	Valladolid	3	0	3	0	+0	3
19	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-6	1
20	Espanol	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	4	3	0	1	+3	9
2	Granada	5	2	2	1	+3	8
3	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Ath Madrid	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Sociedad	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Valladolid	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Getafe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Espanol	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Osasuna	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Barcelona	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	+0	3
12	Ath Bilbao	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Eibar	5	0	3	2	-2	3
14	Levante	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Valencia	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Celta	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Leganes	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Alaves	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Betis	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Mallorca	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.