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La Liga
Referee: José Sánchez
Valladolid
T U T U S
0–0
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
29%
57%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 14%
14%
14%
Both score Ø 36%
57%
14%
Average goals
2,1
1,6
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,1
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
5 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 14
6 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 13. · Ath Madrid 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 8 5 3 0 +8 18
2 Granada 8 4 2 2 +5 14
3 Ath Madrid 7 4 2 1 +3 14
4 Barcelona 7 4 1 2 +6 13
5 Sociedad 7 4 1 2 +5 13
6 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 +3 13
7 Ath Bilbao 8 3 3 2 +3 12
8 Valencia 8 3 3 2 +0 12
9 Villarreal 8 3 2 3 +6 11
10 Levante 8 3 2 3 +0 11
11 Osasuna 8 2 5 1 +0 11
12 Eibar 8 2 3 3 +0 9
13 Valladolid 7 2 3 2 -1 9
14 Celta 8 2 3 3 -4 9
15 Betis 8 2 3 3 -5 9
16 Alaves 8 2 2 4 -4 8
17 Getafe 7 1 4 2 -1 7
18 Mallorca 8 2 1 5 -6 7
19 Espanol 8 1 2 5 -10 5
20 Leganes 8 0 2 6 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Ath Madrid
Nacho Martinez 🟨
2′
Toni Villa 🟨
10′
25′
🟨 Álvaro Morata
Javi Moyano 🟨
29′
45′
🟨 Saúl Ñíguez
Half-time 0–0
Óscar Plano 🟨
48′
Joaquin Fernandez 🟨
52′
60′
🟨 João Félix
61′
🔁 Á. Correa
↦ João Félix
Waldo Rubio 🔁
↦ Toni Suárez
65′
65′
🔁 T. Lemar
↦ Koke
E. Ünal 🔁
↦ Sandro Ramírez
69′
72′
🔁 H. Herrera
↦ Morata
Waldo Rubio Marin 🟨
75′
A. Tuhami 🔁
↦ Míchel
84′
89′
🟨 Thomas Lemar
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-4-2
1 Jordi Masip G
17 Javi Moyano D
4 Kiko Olivas D
27 Mohammed Salisu D
22 Nacho Martinez D
10 Óscar Plano M
24 Joaquin Fernandez M
21 Míchel Herrero M
19 Toni Villa M
7 Sergi Guardiola F
20 Sandro Ramírez F
Bench (7)
13 Andriy Lunin
18 Antoñito
33 Hacen
11 Pablo Hervias
8 Anuar
9 Enes Ünal
23 Waldo Rubio Marin

Coach: Sergio

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 Jan Oblak G
23 Kieran Trippier D
15 Stefan Savić D
2 José Giménez D
12 Renan Lodi D
6 Koke M
5 Thomas Partey M
8 Saúl Ñíguez M
7 João Félix M
9 Álvaro Morata F
19 Diego Costa F
Bench (7)
1 Antonio Adán
4 Santiago Arias
18 Felipe
14 Marcos Llorente
16 Héctor Herrera
10 Ángel Correa
11 Thomas Lemar

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,36
U ✓
3,52
B
1,74
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.