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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martínez
Sevilla
S U T T T
1–0
Full-time
Osasuna
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Osasuna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 38%
33%
43%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
33%
29%
Both score Ø 40%
50%
29%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
9 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 0
4 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sevilla 16. · Osasuna 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 8 5 2 1 +14 17
2 Real Madrid 7 5 1 1 +8 16
3 Villarreal 8 4 3 1 +2 15
4 Ath Madrid 6 4 2 0 +11 14
5 Cadiz 8 4 2 2 +2 14
6 Granada 7 4 2 1 +0 14
7 Betis 9 4 0 5 -5 12
8 Barcelona 7 3 2 2 +7 11
9 Getafe 7 3 2 2 +1 11
10 Elche 7 3 2 2 -1 11
11 Osasuna 7 3 1 3 +0 10
12 Ath Bilbao 7 3 0 4 -1 9
13 Eibar 9 2 3 4 -3 9
14 Valencia 8 2 2 4 -2 8
15 Alaves 8 2 2 4 -3 8
16 Sevilla 6 2 1 3 +0 7
17 Celta 9 1 4 4 -9 7
18 Huesca 9 0 6 3 -8 6
19 Levante 7 1 2 4 -5 5
20 Valladolid 8 0 3 5 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Osasuna
16′
🔁 Oier
↦ Lucas Torró
38′
🟨 Unai García
Escudero 🔁
↦ M. Acuña
42′
Half-time 0–0
I. Rakitić 🔁
↦ Navas
46′
1–0 L. Ocampos
59′
67′
🔁 Nacho Vidal
↦ Unai García
67′
🔁 Roberto Torres
↦ Rubén García
L. de Jong 🔁
↦ Carlos Fernández
68′
Ivan Rakitić 🟨
77′
80′
🟨 Oier
82′
🔁 Iñigo Pérez
↦ Juan Cruz
83′
🔁 Adrián
↦ Enric Gallego
Fernando 🟨
87′
F. Vázquez 🔁
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
89′
N. Gudelj 🔁
↦ Joan Jordán
89′
90′
🟨 David García
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-3-3
13 Y. Bounou G
16 Navas D
20 Diego Carlos D
12 J. Koundé D
25 Fernando M
5 L. Ocampos F
19 M. Acuña D
21 Óliver Torres M
8 Joan Jordán M
24 Carlos Fernández F
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (12)
18 Escudero
10 I. Rakitić
9 L. de Jong
22 F. Vázquez
6 N. Gudelj
14 Óscar Rodríguez
4 K. Rekik
11 Munir
1 T. Vaclík
17 Aleix Vidal
31 Javi Díaz
3 Sergi Gómez

Coach: Lopetegui

Osasuna

4-4-2
1 Sergio Herrera G
12 F. Roncaglia D
3 Juan Cruz D
5 David García D
4 Unai García D
24 Lucas Torró M
14 Rubén García M
27 Moncayola M
17 A. Budimir F
7 Jony M
19 Enric Gallego F
Bench (10)
6 Oier
2 Nacho Vidal
10 Roberto Torres
21 Iñigo Pérez
20 Adrián
36 Iván Martínez
22 Raúl Navas
11 Kike Barja
13 Rubén
32 Asier Córdoba

Coach: Arrasate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,55
U
4,02
B
6,60
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Juan Martínez · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.