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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Granada

S U T U U

1–2

Full-time

Ath Madrid

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,3

This season — La Liga · 22/20 matches

Win Ø 58%

36%

80%

Points per game

1,4

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

45%

Both score Ø 45%

50%

40%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,2

2,1

Conceded

1,6

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%

6 Shots 10

1 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 20

0 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Granada 8. · Ath Madrid 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	20	16	3	1	+30	51
2	Real Madrid	22	14	4	4	+20	46
3	Barcelona	21	13	4	4	+24	43
4	Sevilla	21	13	3	5	+15	42
5	Villarreal	22	8	12	2	+9	36
6	Sociedad	22	9	8	5	+16	35
7	Betis	22	9	3	10	-8	30
8	Granada	22	8	6	8	-10	30
9	Celta	23	7	8	8	-5	29
10	Levante	21	6	9	6	+0	27
11	Ath Bilbao	21	7	4	10	+2	25
12	Valencia	22	5	9	8	-2	24
13	Getafe	22	6	6	10	-11	24
14	Cadiz	22	6	6	10	-15	24
15	Osasuna	22	5	7	10	-10	22
16	Alaves	22	5	7	10	-10	22
17	Eibar	22	4	8	10	-7	20
18	Valladolid	22	4	8	10	-12	20
19	Elche	21	3	9	9	-12	18
20	Huesca	22	2	10	10	-14	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	11	9	2	0	+21	29
2	Sevilla	10	7	1	2	+11	22
3	Barcelona	10	6	3	1	+12	21
4	Real Madrid	10	7	0	3	+11	21
5	Villarreal	11	5	6	0	+7	21
6	Granada	11	6	3	2	+3	21
7	Ath Bilbao	11	6	1	4	+9	19
8	Celta	11	6	1	4	+0	19
9	Sociedad	11	4	5	2	+8	17
10	Levante	10	4	5	1	+4	17
11	Betis	11	5	2	4	+0	17
12	Getafe	11	4	3	4	+1	15
13	Osasuna	11	4	3	4	-2	15
14	Valencia	11	3	5	3	+2	14
15	Alaves	12	3	4	5	-5	13
16	Cadiz	11	2	4	5	-6	10
17	Valladolid	11	2	4	5	-7	10
18	Elche	11	1	6	4	-7	9
19	Huesca	11	1	5	5	-6	8
20	Eibar	11	1	4	6	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	12	7	4	1	+9	25
2	Barcelona	11	7	1	3	+12	22
3	Ath Madrid	9	7	1	1	+9	22
4	Sevilla	11	6	2	3	+4	20
5	Sociedad	11	5	3	3	+8	18
6	Villarreal	11	3	6	2	+2	15
7	Cadiz	11	4	2	5	-9	14
8	Eibar	11	3	4	4	+0	13
9	Betis	11	4	1	6	-8	13
10	Levante	11	2	4	5	-4	10
11	Valencia	11	2	4	5	-4	10
12	Celta	12	1	7	4	-5	10
13	Valladolid	11	2	4	5	-5	10
14	Elche	10	2	3	5	-5	9
15	Alaves	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Getafe	11	2	3	6	-12	9
17	Granada	11	2	3	6	-13	9
18	Huesca	11	1	5	5	-8	8
19	Osasuna	11	1	4	6	-8	7
20	Ath Bilbao	10	1	3	6	-7	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.