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La Liga
Referee: César Soto
Ath Madrid
S S T U T
1–0
Full-time
Granada
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 41%
41%
41%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
18%
41%
Both score Ø 36%
36%
36%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
6 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
6 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 6. · Granada 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 22 14 7 1 +27 49
2 Barcelona 22 14 4 4 +26 46
3 Getafe 23 12 6 5 +15 42
4 Sevilla 22 11 6 5 +7 39
5 Valencia 23 10 7 6 +1 37
6 Ath Madrid 22 9 9 4 +7 36
7 Villarreal 23 10 5 8 +9 35
8 Sociedad 22 10 4 8 +7 34
9 Ath Bilbao 22 7 10 5 +5 31
10 Granada 22 9 3 10 -2 30
11 Levante 23 9 2 12 -5 29
12 Osasuna 22 6 10 6 +1 28
13 Betis 22 7 7 8 -4 28
14 Alaves 23 7 6 10 -8 27
15 Valladolid 23 5 11 7 -6 26
16 Eibar 23 6 6 11 -10 24
17 Mallorca 22 5 3 14 -16 18
18 Leganes 23 4 6 13 -18 18
19 Celta 22 3 8 11 -14 17
20 Espanol 22 3 6 13 -22 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Granada
1–0 Á. Correa
Koke
6′
26′
🟨 Yangel Herrera
Koke 🟨
27′
27′
🟨 Roberto Soldado
36′
🟨 Dimitri Foulquier
Half-time 1–0
Y. Carrasco 🔁
↦ Renan Lodi
59′
59′
🔁 Antonio Puertas
↦ Vadillo
59′
🔁 Gil Dias
↦ Y. Herrera
Thomas Partey 🟨
68′
Šime Vrsaljko 🟨
69′
75′
🔁 Carlos Fernández
↦ José Martínez
84′
🟨 Domingos Duarte
Vitolo 🟨
86′
T. Lemar 🔁
↦ Koke
87′
Toni Moya 🔁
↦ Vitolo
87′
88′
🟨 Víctor Díaz
90′
🟨 İsmail Köybaşı
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-3-1-2
13 Jan Oblak G
24 Šime Vrsaljko D
15 Stefan Savić D
22 Mario Hermoso D
12 Renan Lodi D
14 Marcos Llorente M
5 Thomas Partey M
8 Saúl Ñíguez M
6 Koke M
20 Vitolo F
10 Ángel Correa F
Bench (7)
1 Antonio Adán
35 Manuel Sánchez
42 Ricard Sánchez
38 Toni Moya
11 Thomas Lemar
21 Yannick Carrasco
17 Ivan Šaponjić

Coach: D. Simeone

Granada

4-2-3-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
2 Dimitri Foulquier D
22 Domingos Duarte D
5 José Antonio Martinez D
16 Víctor Díaz D
21 Yangel Herrera M
8 Yan Brice M
7 Álvaro Vadillo M
12 Ramon Azeez M
11 İsmail Köybaşı M
9 Roberto Soldado F
Bench (7)
1 Rui Silva
15 Carlos Neva
20 Jesús Vallejo
17 Gil Dias
10 Antonio Puertas
24 Carlos Fernández
23 Darwin Machís

Coach: Diego Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,40
U
4,19
B
10,44
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,41
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.