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LaLiga2

Referee: Oliver De La Fuente

Granada

T S T U U

2–0

Full-time

Lugo

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,2

Scored

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

This season — LaLiga2 · 39/39 matches

Win Ø 31%

49%

13%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

28%

33%

Both score Ø 35%

28%

41%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,2

0,6

Conceded

0,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%

17 Shots 7

9 Shots on target 0

6 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Granada 3. · Lugo 22. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	39	17	16	6	+17	67
2	Eibar	39	18	13	8	+9	67
3	Granada	39	19	9	11	+19	66
4	Alaves	39	18	12	9	+13	66
5	Levante	39	16	17	6	+14	65
6	Albacete	39	16	14	9	+10	62
7	Cartagena	39	16	10	13	+5	58
8	Oviedo	40	15	11	14	-1	56
9	Burgos	40	13	15	12	+0	54
10	Tenerife	39	13	14	12	+5	53
11	Andorra	39	14	10	15	+8	52
12	Mirandes	39	13	13	13	-1	52
13	Leganes	40	14	10	16	-3	52
14	Zaragoza	39	11	16	12	+0	49
15	Sp Gijon	40	11	16	13	-2	49
16	Villarreal B	39	13	10	16	-4	49
17	Huesca	39	10	18	11	+0	48
18	Santander	39	12	12	15	-3	48
19	Malaga	39	9	13	17	-8	40
20	Ponferradina	39	8	15	16	-16	39
21	Ibiza	39	6	11	22	-34	29
22	Lugo	39	5	13	21	-28	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	19	15	4	0	+29	49
2	Alaves	20	12	7	1	+16	43
3	Eibar	20	11	7	2	+11	40
4	Tenerife	20	11	6	3	+15	39
5	Levante	19	10	6	3	+13	36
6	Huesca	19	9	8	2	+11	35
7	Leganes	20	10	5	5	+4	35
8	Las Palmas	19	9	7	3	+11	34
9	Mirandes	20	9	7	4	+6	34
10	Albacete	19	9	6	4	+10	33
11	Villarreal B	20	9	6	5	+9	33
12	Sp Gijon	20	8	9	3	+9	33
13	Burgos	20	8	8	4	+4	32
14	Oviedo	20	9	5	6	+2	32
15	Cartagena	20	9	4	7	+0	31
16	Andorra	19	9	3	7	+10	30
17	Zaragoza	19	7	9	3	+7	30
18	Santander	19	7	6	6	+3	27
19	Malaga	19	6	8	5	+1	26
20	Ponferradina	20	6	6	8	-6	24
21	Lugo	20	3	10	7	-5	19
22	Ibiza	20	4	7	9	-11	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	20	8	9	3	+6	33
2	Levante	20	6	11	3	+1	29
3	Albacete	20	7	8	5	+0	29
4	Cartagena	19	7	6	6	+5	27
5	Eibar	19	7	6	6	-2	27
6	Oviedo	20	6	6	8	-3	24
7	Alaves	19	6	5	8	-3	23
8	Andorra	20	5	7	8	-2	22
9	Burgos	20	5	7	8	-4	22
10	Santander	20	5	6	9	-6	21
11	Zaragoza	20	4	7	9	-7	19
12	Mirandes	19	4	6	9	-7	18
13	Leganes	20	4	5	11	-7	17
14	Granada	20	4	5	11	-10	17
15	Sp Gijon	20	3	7	10	-11	16
16	Villarreal B	19	4	4	11	-13	16
17	Ponferradina	19	2	9	8	-10	15
18	Malaga	20	3	5	12	-9	14
19	Tenerife	19	2	8	9	-10	14
20	Huesca	20	1	10	9	-11	13
21	Ibiza	19	2	4	13	-23	10
22	Lugo	19	2	3	14	-23	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.