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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Betis
S T T U U
3–0
Full-time
Valencia
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,62 xG 0,66
56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
5 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 12. · Valencia 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 8 7 0 1 +10 +5.7 21
2 Barcelona 8 6 2 0 +11 +9.7 20
3 Girona 8 6 1 1 +7 +2.8 19
4 Sociedad 8 4 3 1 +6 +0.6 15
5 Ath Bilbao 8 4 2 2 +4 +5.3 14
6 Ath Madrid 6 4 1 1 +10 +3.7 13
7 Vallecano 8 3 3 2 -2 +1.1 12
8 Valencia 7 3 1 3 +2 +0.7 10
9 Osasuna 8 3 1 4 -1 -1.6 10
10 Cadiz 7 2 3 2 -2 -2.7 9
11 Getafe 8 2 3 3 -3 -2.3 9
12 Betis 7 2 3 2 -5 -3.1 9
13 Villarreal 8 2 2 4 -3 -2.7 8
14 Sevilla 7 2 1 4 +1 -2.4 7
15 Mallorca 8 1 4 3 -3 -3.9 7
16 Alaves 8 2 1 5 -6 -0.2 7
17 Celta 7 1 2 4 -4 -2.8 5
18 Las Palmas 7 1 2 4 -4 -2.9 5
19 Granada 8 1 2 5 -8 -6.0 5
20 Almeria 8 0 3 5 -10 +0.9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Valencia
Ayoze Pérez 🟨
11′
40′
🟨 Cenk Özkaçar
1–0 Assane Diao
Marc Roca
41′
43′
🟨 Gabriel Paulista
Half-time 1–0
Chadi Riad 🔁
↦ Marc Bartra
46′
46′
🔁 Hugo Duro
↦ Roman Yaremchuk
46′
🔁 Diego Lopez
↦ Pablo Gozálbez
2–0 Marc Roca
Isco
52′
William Carvalho 🔁
↦ Isco
62′
68′
🔁 Hugo Guillamón
↦ André Almeida
Borja Iglesias 🔁
↦ Ayoze Pérez
72′
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 🔁
↦ Assane Diao
72′
77′
🔁 Mario Dominguez
↦ Fran Pérez
3–0 Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
William Carvalho
85′
86′
🔁 Hugo González
↦ Pepelu
Sergi Altimira 🔁
↦ Guido Rodríguez
88′
Germán Pezzella 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
1 Claudio Bravo G
2 Héctor Bellerín D
6 Germán Pezzella D
15 Marc Bartra D
3 Juan Miranda D
5 Guido Rodríguez M
21 Marc Roca M
38 Assane Diao M
22 Isco M
17 Rodri Sánchez M
10 Ayoze Pérez F
Bench (10)
28 Chadi Riad
14 William Carvalho
7 Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
9 Borja Iglesias
27 Sergi Altimira
13 Rui Silva
31 Guilherme Fernandes
20 Abner Vinícius
24 Aitor Ruibal
16 Juan Cruz

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Valencia

4-2-3-1
25 Giorgi Mamardashvili G
3 Cristhian Mosquera D
4 Mouctar Diakhaby D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
15 Cenk Özkaçar D
18 Pepelu M
8 Javier Guerra M
23 Fran Pérez M
10 André Almeida M
27 Pablo Gozálbez M
17 Roman Yaremchuk F
Bench (9)
16 Diego Lopez
9 Hugo Duro
6 Hugo Guillamón
36 Mario Dominguez
30 Hugo González
1 Jaume Doménech
13 Cristian Rivero
31 Ruben Iranzo Lendinez
34 Yarek Gasiorowski

Coach: Rubén Baraja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,31
U
3,32
B
3,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,16
U2,5
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.