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La Liga
Referee: Juan Pulido
Osasuna
T U U S U
1–1
Full-time
Leganes
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,74 xG 0,98
61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Osasuna Leganes
22′
Juan Cruz 0–1
Javi Hernández
30′
🟨 Valentin Rosier
Half-time 0–1
Moncayola 🔁
↦ Iker Muñoz
46′
Juan Cruz 🔁
↦ Abel Bretones
60′
Bryan Zaragoza 🔁
↦ Moi Gómez
60′
61′
🟨 Juan Soriano
63′
🔁 Dani Raba
↦ Juan Cruz
73′
🔁 J. Chicco
↦ S. Cissé
Juan Cruz 🟨
74′
Rubén Peña 🔁
↦ Rubén García
78′
0–2 Juan Soriano
own goal
79′
Jorge Herrando 🟨
82′
88′
🔁 Diego García
↦ Miguel de la Fuente
88′
🔁 R. Tapia
↦ Aritz Arambarri
88′
🔁 Roberto López
↦ D. Brašanac
Jon Moncayola 🟨
89′
Raúl García 🔁
↦ Aimar Oroz
92′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Osasuna

4-3-3
1 Sergio Herrera G
12 Jesús Areso D
24 Catena D
5 Jorge Herrando D
23 Abel Bretones D
18 Iker Muñoz M
6 Lucas Torró M
16 Moi Gómez M
14 Rubén García F
17 A. Budimir F
10 Aimar Oroz F
Bench (12)
7 Moncayola
3 Juan Cruz
19 Bryan Zaragoza
15 Rubén Peña
9 Raúl García
4 Unai García
21 Javi Martínez
2 Nacho Vidal
32 D. Stamatakis
27 Iker Benito
13 Aitor Fernández
8 Pablo Ibáñez

Coach: Vicente Moreno

Leganes

4-2-3-1
1 Juan Soriano G
12 V. Rosier D
22 Aritz Arambarri D
6 Sergio González D
20 Javi Hernández D
14 D. Brašanac M
17 Y. Neyou M
11 Juan Cruz M
8 S. Cissé M
15 Enric Franquesa M
9 Miguel de la Fuente F
Bench (12)
10 Dani Raba
24 J. Chicco
19 Diego García
5 R. Tapia
21 Roberto López
36 Alvin
13 M. Dmitrović
33 Lalo Aguilar
34 J. Urbáez
7 Óscar Rodríguez
32 Carlos Guirao
26 Álex Gil

Coach: Borja Jiménez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,88
U ✓
3,44
B
4,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,34
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Pulido · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.